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← NFL / 2026-10-12 / Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Away · 3−1 Buffalo Bills rating +0.31 (90%: −0.82 to +1.63) · #11  ·  50.6% win
at
Home · 2−2 Los Angeles Rams rating +0.26 (90%: −0.87 to +1.60) · #14  ·  49.5% win
MON 7:15P CT · 2026-10-12 NFL SoFi Stadium

The Forecast

Kalshi price as of 8:27 AM CT · market bid/ask midpoint, not a probability
Spread
BUF −0.6
Total
48.2
Team totals
23.8 / 24.4 LAR / BUF
Moneyline
−102 LAR +102
Kalshi price
LAR 62¢ model −12.0 pts vs price
Rating gap
−0.05 logit scale

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
BUF·LAR
+0.31
bayes rating
+0.26
31.8
points / game
21.2
26.8
points allowed / game
20.8
3−1
season record
2−2
2−1
home record
1−1
1−0
away record
1−1
L1
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
5−5
386
total yards / game
417
6.6
yards / play
6.1
247
passing yards / game
290
139
rushing yards / game
127
23.8
first downs / game
22.5
1.8
turnovers / game
2.0

Head to Head

last 2 meetings · LAR 1−1
2024-12-08at LARLAR 44 − 42
2022-09-08at LARBUF 31 − 10

BUF · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
2026-10-04vs NE26 − 29L
2026-09-27vs LAC24 − 16W
2026-09-17vs DET41 − 31W
2026-09-13at HOU36 − 31W
2026-01-17at DEN30 − 33L
2026-01-11at JAX27 − 24W
2026-01-04vs NYJ35 − 8W
2025-12-28vs PHI12 − 13L
2025-12-21at CLE23 − 20W
2025-12-14at NE35 − 31W

LAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
2026-10-04at PHI24 − 20W
2026-09-27at DEN26 − 30L
2026-09-21vs NYG28 − 6W
2026-09-10vs SF7 − 27L
2026-01-25at SEA27 − 31L
2026-01-18at CHI20 − 17W
2026-01-10at CAR34 − 31W
2026-01-04vs ARI37 − 20W
2025-12-29at ATL24 − 27L
2025-12-18at SEA37 − 38L