Last updated Oct 12, 2026, 7:42 AM CT

NFL Power Ratings, 2026

snapshot 2026-10-12 · 32 teams · home edge +0.16

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NFL games, 2026-10-12

1 game

Kalshi price · as of 8:30 AM CT bayesRatings home-win probability, 0 → 100% · times CT

StartMatchupWin probability SpreadTotalMoneyline

MON 7:15P
NFL

BUFBuffalo Bills50.5%

LARLos Angeles Rams49.5%

BUF −0.6

48.2

BUF −102LAR +102

Posterior mean team strength, zero-centered on the logit scale · faint band = 90% interval +0.69 ≈ 2 : 1 vs an average team, neutral field

Rk	Team	Rating	Δ	90% interval	SD	Record
1	SFSan Francisco 49ers	+1.83	—	−0.04 … +5.25	2.03	5−0
2	MINMinnesota Vikings	+1.71	—	−0.06 … +4.81	1.74	5−0
3	KCKansas City Chiefs	+1.52	—	−0.15 … +4.59	1.75	4−0
4	JAXJacksonville Jaguars	+0.84	—	−0.31 … +2.52	0.89	4−1
5	DENDenver Broncos	+0.53	—	−0.58 … +2.08	0.85	3−2
6	BALBaltimore Ravens	+0.51	—	−0.61 … +1.96	0.79	4−1
7	NYGNew York Giants	+0.42	—	−0.69 … +1.76	0.76	3−1−1
8	NENew England Patriots	+0.42	—	−0.62 … +1.80	0.75	3−2
9	CHIChicago Bears	+0.36	—	−0.71 … +1.67	0.73	3−2
10	GBGreen Bay Packers	+0.33	—	−0.73 … +1.62	0.73	3−2
11	BUFBuffalo Bills	+0.31	—	−0.82 … +1.63	0.77	3−1
12	CLECleveland Browns	+0.29	—	−0.78 … +1.53	0.71	3−2
13	PITPittsburgh Steelers	+0.27	—	−0.78 … +1.48	0.69	3−2
14	LARLos Angeles Rams	+0.26	—	−0.87 … +1.60	0.76	2−2
15	DETDetroit Lions	+0.15	—	−0.90 … +1.29	0.68	3−2
16	SEASeattle Seahawks	+0.15	—	−0.96 … +1.37	0.74	3−2
17	LVLas Vegas Raiders	+0.14	—	−0.98 … +1.34	0.71	3−2
18	CINCincinnati Bengals	+0.12	—	−0.95 … +1.25	0.68	3−2
19	CARCarolina Panthers	+0.09	—	−1.10 … +1.32	0.74	2−2
20	ATLAtlanta Falcons	−0.10	—	−1.29 … +1.00	0.69	2−3
21	INDIndianapolis Colts	−0.17	—	−1.44 … +0.95	0.72	2−3
22	NYJNew York Jets	−0.22	—	−1.44 … +0.81	0.70	2−3
23	PHIPhiladelphia Eagles	−0.29	—	−1.60 … +0.82	0.75	2−3
24	DALDallas Cowboys	−0.37	—	−1.80 … +0.70	0.77	2−3
25	NONew Orleans Saints	−0.50	—	−1.94 … +0.61	0.79	1−4
26	TBTampa Bay Buccaneers	−0.57	—	−2.12 … +0.59	0.85	1−4
27	ARIArizona Cardinals	−0.72	—	−2.45 … +0.46	0.94	1−4
28	WSHWashington Commanders	−0.74	—	−2.38 … +0.40	0.86	1−3−1
29	HOUHouston Texans	−1.03	—	−3.10 … +0.30	1.11	1−4
30	MIAMiami Dolphins	−1.28	—	−4.06 … +0.31	1.86	0−5
31	LACLos Angeles Chargers	−1.99	—	−5.68 … +0.04	2.10	0−5
32	TENTennessee Titans	−2.28	—	−6.63 … −0.01	2.42	0−5