Last updated
MLB Power Ratings, 2026
snapshot 2026-10-12 · 30 teams · home edge +0.12MLB games, 2026-10-12
2 games
Kalshi price · as of 8:29 AM CT
bayesRatings
home-win probability, 0 → 100% · times CT
StartMatchupWin probability
SpreadTotalMoneyline
MON 4:00P
MLB
MLB
LADLos Angeles Dodgers46.1%
MILMilwaukee Brewers53.9%
MIL −0.1
8.5
MIL −117LAD +117
MON 7:00P
MLB
MLB
CLECleveland Guardians43.2%
TBTampa Bay Rays56.8%
TB −0.4
8.2
TB −131CLE +131
Posterior mean team strength, zero-centered on the logit scale · faint band = 90% interval
+0.69 ≈ 2 : 1 vs an average team, neutral field
| Rk | Team | Rating | Δ | 90% interval | SD | Record | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MILMilwaukee Brewers | +0.43 | — | +0.17 … +0.70 | 0.16 | 107−60 | |
| 2 | LADLos Angeles Dodgers | +0.32 | — | +0.08 … +0.57 | 0.15 | 103−64 | |
| 3 | TBTampa Bay Rays | +0.31 | — | +0.07 … +0.57 | 0.15 | 101−64 | |
| 4 | ATLAtlanta Braves | +0.19 | — | −0.01 … +0.42 | 0.13 | 97−72 | |
| 5 | NYYNew York Yankees | +0.18 | — | −0.02 … +0.41 | 0.13 | 95−71 | |
| 6 | SDSan Diego Padres | +0.15 | — | −0.04 … +0.36 | 0.12 | 94−74 | |
| 7 | CHCChicago Cubs | +0.11 | — | −0.07 … +0.32 | 0.12 | 89−75 | |
| 8 | PHIPhiladelphia Phillies | +0.10 | — | −0.08 … +0.31 | 0.12 | 89−76 | |
| 9 | BOSBoston Red Sox | +0.08 | — | −0.11 … +0.28 | 0.12 | 87−77 | |
| 10 | ARIArizona Diamondbacks | +0.07 | — | −0.12 … +0.27 | 0.12 | 86−76 | |
| 11 | CLECleveland Guardians | +0.05 | — | −0.14 … +0.24 | 0.12 | 88−79 | |
| 12 | CHWChicago White Sox | +0.04 | — | −0.15 … +0.23 | 0.11 | 88−81 | |
| 13 | PITPittsburgh Pirates | +0.03 | — | −0.16 … +0.22 | 0.12 | 82−80 | |
| 14 | MIAMiami Marlins | −0.00 | — | −0.20 … +0.19 | 0.12 | 80−82 | |
| 15 | BALBaltimore Orioles | −0.02 | — | −0.21 … +0.18 | 0.12 | 79−82 | |
| 16 | TORToronto Blue Jays | −0.02 | — | −0.21 … +0.17 | 0.12 | 79−83 | |
| 17 | TEXTexas Rangers | −0.04 | — | −0.23 … +0.16 | 0.12 | 80−82 | |
| 18 | STLSt. Louis Cardinals | −0.04 | — | −0.24 … +0.16 | 0.12 | 77−85 | |
| 19 | HOUHouston Astros | −0.04 | — | −0.23 … +0.14 | 0.12 | 81−83 | |
| 20 | WSHWashington Nationals | −0.05 | — | −0.24 … +0.14 | 0.12 | 77−85 | |
| 21 | MINMinnesota Twins | −0.06 | — | −0.26 … +0.12 | 0.12 | 77−85 | |
| 22 | CINCincinnati Reds | −0.06 | — | −0.27 … +0.13 | 0.12 | 75−87 | |
| 23 | DETDetroit Tigers | −0.08 | — | −0.28 … +0.11 | 0.12 | 76−86 | |
| 24 | NYMNew York Mets | −0.08 | — | −0.29 … +0.10 | 0.12 | 74−88 | |
| 25 | SEASeattle Mariners | −0.09 | — | −0.30 … +0.10 | 0.12 | 76−86 | |
| 26 | KCKansas City Royals | −0.19 | — | −0.41 … +0.02 | 0.13 | 69−93 | |
| 27 | SFSan Francisco Giants | −0.24 | — | −0.49 … −0.02 | 0.14 | 65−97 | |
| 28 | ATHAthletics | −0.31 | — | −0.57 … −0.07 | 0.15 | 64−98 | |
| 29 | LAALos Angeles Angels | −0.34 | — | −0.61 … −0.10 | 0.15 | 62−100 | |
| 30 | COLColorado Rockies | −0.40 | — | −0.68 … −0.14 | 0.16 | 58−104 |