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← MLB / 2026-10-12 / Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Away · 88−79 Cleveland Guardians rating +0.05 (90%: −0.14 to +0.24) · #11  ·  43.2% win
at
Home · 101−64 Tampa Bay Rays rating +0.31 (90%: +0.07 to +0.57) · #3  ·  56.8% win
MON 7:00P CT · 2026-10-12 MLB Tropicana Field

The Forecast

Kalshi price as of 8:27 AM CT · market bid/ask midpoint, not a probability
Spread
TB −0.4
Total
8.2
Team totals
4.3 / 3.9 TB / CLE
Moneyline
−131 CLE +131
Kalshi price
TB 60¢ model −2.7 pts vs price
Rating gap
+0.26 logit scale

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 165+ games
CLE·TB
+0.05
bayes rating
+0.31
4.2
runs / game
4.5
4.1
runs allowed / game
4.0
88−79
season record
101−64
42−42
home record
57−26
46−37
away record
44−38
W3
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
6−4
7.9
hits / game
8.6
0.99
home runs / game
1.04
3.6
walks drawn / game
3.1
7.8
batter strikeouts / game
7.0
9.6
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.2
0.51
errors / game
0.56

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TB 6−4
2026-07-26at TBTB 1 − 0
2026-07-25at TBTB 3 − 0
2026-07-24at TBTB 11 − 3
2026-04-29at CLECLE 3 − 1
2026-04-28at CLETB 1 − 0
2026-04-27at CLETB 3 − 2
2025-09-07at TBCLE 2 − 1
2025-09-06at TBCLE 3 − 2
2025-09-05at TBCLE 7 − 1
2025-09-04at TBTB 4 − 2

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
2026-10-10vs CHW2 − 0W
2026-10-08at CHW9 − 5W
2026-10-07at CHW9 − 3W
2026-10-05vs CHW3 − 4L
2026-10-03vs CHW0 − 3L
2026-09-27at KC2 − 3L
2026-09-26at KC11 − 5W
2026-09-25at KC12 − 9W
2026-09-24at BOS1 − 0W
2026-09-23at BOS0 − 1L

TB · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
2026-10-07at NYY4 − 3W
2026-10-05vs NYY5 − 2W
2026-10-03vs NYY1 − 0W
2026-09-27at PHI3 − 7L
2026-09-26at PHI12 − 1W
2026-09-25at PHI2 − 0W
2026-09-24at NYY4 − 6L
2026-09-23at NYY2 − 9L
2026-09-22at NYY6 − 1W
2026-09-22at NYY0 − 2L