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← NHL / 2026-10-12 / Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres
Away · 2−3 Florida Panthers rating −0.04 (90%: −0.83 to +0.69) · #19  ·  50.7% win
at
Home · 2−3 Buffalo Sabres rating −0.10 (90%: −0.94 to +0.59) · #26  ·  49.3% win
MON 12:00P CT · 2026-10-12 NHL KeyBank Center

The Forecast

Kalshi price as of 8:30 AM CT · market bid/ask midpoint, not a probability
Spread
BUF +0.0
Total
5.2
Team totals
2.6 / 2.6 BUF / FLA
Moneyline
−103 BUF +103
Kalshi price
BUF 50¢ model −1.2 pts vs price
Rating gap
−0.06 logit scale

Team Comparison

2027 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
FLA·BUF
−0.04
bayes rating
−0.10
1.8
goals / game
2.2
2.4
goals allowed / game
3.8
2−3
season record
2−3
0−1
home record
2−2
2−2
away record
0−1
L1
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
4−6
27.4
shots / game
26.4
47.3
faceoff %
47.4
34.8
hits / game
20.4
10.8
blocked shots / game
11.8
3.6
takeaways / game
2.4
16.6
giveaways / game
17.6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BUF 4−6
2026-02-27at FLABUF 3 − 2
2026-02-02at FLABUF 5 − 3
2026-01-12at BUFFLA 4 − 3
2025-10-18at BUFBUF 3 − 0
2025-04-12at FLAFLA 3 − 2 SO
2025-03-08at FLAFLA 4 − 0
2024-10-28at BUFFLA 5 − 2
2024-10-12at BUFBUF 5 − 2
2024-04-13at FLAFLA 3 − 2 OT
2024-02-27at FLAFLA 3 − 2

FLA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
2026-10-10vs MIN1 − 4L
2026-10-06at LA2 − 1W
2026-10-04at ANA2 − 3L
2026-10-01at SJ3 − 4L
2026-09-29at CAR1 − 0W
2026-04-15vs DET8 − 1W
2026-04-13vs NYR3 − 2W
2026-04-11at TOR6 − 2W
2026-04-09at OTT1 − 5L
2026-04-07at MTL3 − 4L

BUF · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
2026-10-10vs UTAH1 − 4L
2026-10-08vs DAL0 − 4L
2026-10-06vs MIN3 − 2W
2026-10-03vs CHI4 − 3W
2026-10-01at CBJ3 − 6L
2026-05-18vs MTL2 − 3L
2026-05-16at MTL8 − 3W
2026-05-14vs MTL3 − 6L
2026-05-12at MTL3 − 2W
2026-05-10at MTL2 − 6L