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← NHL / 2026-10-12 / Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild
Away · 5−1 Vegas Golden Knights rating +0.42 (90%: −0.25 to +1.58) · #1  ·  43.7% win
at
Home · 3−2 Minnesota Wild rating +0.17 (90%: −0.51 to +1.05) · #12  ·  56.3% win
MON 7:00P CT · 2026-10-12 NHL Grand Casino Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi price as of 8:29 AM CT · market bid/ask midpoint, not a probability
Spread
MIN −0.3
Total
5.5
Team totals
2.9 / 2.6 MIN / VGK
Moneyline
−129 VGK +129
Kalshi price
MIN 50¢ model +6.8 pts vs price
Rating gap
−0.25 logit scale

Team Comparison

2027 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
VGK·MIN
+0.42
bayes rating
+0.17
3.8
goals / game
3.0
2.3
goals allowed / game
1.8
5−1
season record
3−2
3−1
home record
1−0
2−0
away record
2−2
W4
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
4−6
33.0
shots / game
29.0
51.9
faceoff %
52.7
20.3
hits / game
21.6
11.7
blocked shots / game
14.2
3.7
takeaways / game
3.6
18.5
giveaways / game
18.2

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 5−5
2026-03-06at VGKMIN 4 − 2
2025-12-29at VGKMIN 5 − 2
2025-11-16at MINMIN 3 − 2 OT
2025-05-01at MINVGK 3 − 2post
2025-04-29at VGKVGK 3 − 2 OTpost
2025-04-26at MINVGK 4 − 3 OTpost
2025-04-24at MINMIN 5 − 2post
2025-04-22at VGKMIN 5 − 2post
2025-04-20at VGKVGK 4 − 2post
2025-03-25at MINVGK 5 − 1

VGK · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
2026-10-10vs LA2 − 1W
2026-10-08vs TOR4 − 3W
2026-10-06at SEA6 − 2W
2026-10-04at VAN3 − 2W
2026-10-02vs ANA3 − 4L
2026-09-29vs CHI5 − 2W
2026-06-14vs CAR0 − 3L
2026-06-11at CAR2 − 4L
2026-06-09vs CAR3 − 5L
2026-06-06vs CAR5 − 4W

MIN · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
2026-10-10at FLA4 − 1W
2026-10-08at TB2 − 3L
2026-10-06at BUF2 − 3L
2026-10-03vs BOS4 − 1W
2026-10-01at NSH3 − 1W
2026-05-13at COL3 − 4L
2026-05-11vs COL2 − 5L
2026-05-09vs COL5 − 1W
2026-05-05at COL2 − 5L
2026-05-03at COL6 − 9L