at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:09 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Cleveland Guardians 44%
Tampa Bay Rays 56%
Chance to win, from our model
← CLE
even
TB →
Kalshi market price
TB 56¢ Our forecast
TB 56%
TB 56¢ Our forecast
TB 56%
| CLE | TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 44% | 56% |
| Expected runs | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Fair odds | +128 | −128 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 8.5. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: TB 56¢ · CLE 44¢. Our TB forecast is 0 points lower than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
TB price in cents, 6:00 AM CT to 8:09 AM CTchart runs 48¢ to 64¢latest 56¢
— Kalshi market price for TB - - Our forecast: TB 56% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026 season · box-score averages from 166+ games
CLE·TB
+0.06
rating (0 = average)
+0.29
4.2
runs / game
4.5
4.1
runs allowed / game
4.0
89−79
season record
101−65
42−42
home record
57−27
47−37
away record
44−38
W4
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
6−4
8.0
hits / game
8.6
0.99
home runs / game
1.04
3.6
walks drawn / game
3.1
7.8
batter strikeouts / game
7.1
9.6
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.2
0.51
errors / game
0.56
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · TB 5−5Oct 12at TBCLE 7 − 3post
Jul 26at TBTB 1 − 0
Jul 25at TBTB 3 − 0
Jul 24at TBTB 11 − 3
Apr 29at CLECLE 3 − 1
Apr 28at CLETB 1 − 0
Apr 27at CLETB 3 − 2
Sep 7, 2025at TBCLE 2 − 1
Sep 6, 2025at TBCLE 3 − 2
Sep 5, 2025at TBCLE 7 − 1
Rating Trend
CLE · TB · 193 daysCLE · Last 10
7−3 · streak W4Oct 12at TB7 − 3W
Oct 10vs CHW2 − 0W
Oct 8at CHW9 − 5W
Oct 7at CHW9 − 3W
Oct 5vs CHW3 − 4L
Oct 3vs CHW0 − 3L
Sep 27at KC2 − 3L
Sep 26at KC11 − 5W
Sep 25at KC12 − 9W
Sep 24at BOS1 − 0W
TB · Last 10
6−4 · streak L1Oct 12vs CLE3 − 7L
Oct 7at NYY4 − 3W
Oct 5vs NYY5 − 2W
Oct 3vs NYY1 − 0W
Sep 27at PHI3 − 7L
Sep 26at PHI12 − 1W
Sep 25at PHI2 − 0W
Sep 24at NYY4 − 6L
Sep 23at NYY2 − 9L
Sep 22at NYY6 − 1W