at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:06 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Tampa Bay Rays 52%
Cleveland Guardians 48%
Chance to win, from our model
← TB
even
CLE →
Kalshi market price
CLE 55¢ Our forecast
CLE 48%
CLE 55¢ Our forecast
CLE 48%
| TB | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 52% | 48% |
| Expected runs | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Fair odds | −107 | +107 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 7.7. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: CLE 55¢ · TB 45¢. Our CLE forecast is 6 points lower than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
CLE price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 8:06 AM CTchart runs 40¢ to 63¢latest 55¢
— Kalshi market price for CLE - - Our forecast: CLE 48% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026 season · box-score averages from 167+ games
TB·CLE
+0.21
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
4.5
runs / game
4.2
4.0
runs allowed / game
4.1
102−65
season record
89−80
58−27
home record
42−42
44−38
away record
47−38
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
6−4
8.6
hits / game
8.0
1.04
home runs / game
0.99
3.1
walks drawn / game
3.6
7.0
batter strikeouts / game
7.9
8.2
pitcher strikeouts / game
9.6
0.56
errors / game
0.51
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · CLE 4−6Oct 13at TBTB 3 − 1post
Oct 12at TBCLE 7 − 3post
Jul 26at TBTB 1 − 0
Jul 25at TBTB 3 − 0
Jul 24at TBTB 11 − 3
Apr 29at CLECLE 3 − 1
Apr 28at CLETB 1 − 0
Apr 27at CLETB 3 − 2
Sep 7, 2025at TBCLE 2 − 1
Sep 6, 2025at TBCLE 3 − 2
Rating Trend
TB · CLE · 198 daysTB · Last 10
6−4 · streak W1Oct 13vs CLE3 − 1W
Oct 12vs CLE3 − 7L
Oct 7at NYY4 − 3W
Oct 5vs NYY5 − 2W
Oct 3vs NYY1 − 0W
Sep 27at PHI3 − 7L
Sep 26at PHI12 − 1W
Sep 25at PHI2 − 0W
Sep 24at NYY4 − 6L
Sep 23at NYY2 − 9L
CLE · Last 10
6−4 · streak L1Oct 13at TB1 − 3L
Oct 12at TB7 − 3W
Oct 10vs CHW2 − 0W
Oct 8at CHW9 − 5W
Oct 7at CHW9 − 3W
Oct 5vs CHW3 − 4L
Oct 3vs CHW0 − 3L
Sep 27at KC2 − 3L
Sep 26at KC11 − 5W
Sep 25at KC12 − 9W