Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / BOS at DET
Away Boston Celtics #4 in NBA  ·  47% to win
at
Home Detroit Pistons #5 in NBA  ·  53% to win
TUE 2:00P CT · Oct 16 NBA Little Caesars Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Boston Celtics 47%
Detroit Pistons 53%

Chance to win, from our model

BOSDET
Chance to win47%53%
Expected points107.5107.4
Fair odds+114−114

Expected margin: BOS by 0.1 · Expected total: 214.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
BOS·DET
+0.83
rating (0 = average)
+0.73
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
6−4

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 4−6
Jan 19at DETDET 104 − 103
Dec 15, 2025at BOSDET 112 − 105
Nov 26, 2025at BOSBOS 117 − 114
Oct 26, 2025at DETDET 119 − 113
Feb 26, 2025at DETDET 117 − 97
Dec 12, 2024at BOSBOS 123 − 99
Dec 4, 2024at BOSBOS 130 − 120
Oct 26, 2024at DETBOS 124 − 118
Mar 22, 2024at DETBOS 129 − 102
Mar 18, 2024at BOSBOS 119 − 94

Rating Trend

BOS · DET · 203 days

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
May 2vs PHI100 − 109L
Apr 30at PHI93 − 106L
Apr 28vs PHI97 − 113L
Apr 26at PHI128 − 96W
Apr 24at PHI108 − 100W
Apr 21vs PHI97 − 111L
Apr 19vs PHI123 − 91W
Apr 12vs ORL113 − 108W
Apr 10vs NO144 − 118W
Apr 9at NY106 − 112L

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L
May 7vs CLE107 − 97W
May 5vs CLE111 − 101W
May 3vs ORL116 − 94W
May 1at ORL93 − 79W
Apr 29vs ORL116 − 109W