Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / OKC at SA
Away Oklahoma City Thunder #1 in NBA  ·  54% to win
at
Home San Antonio Spurs #3 in NBA  ·  46% to win
TUE 8:30P CT · Oct 16 NBA Frost Bank Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Oklahoma City Thunder 54%
San Antonio Spurs 46%

Chance to win, from our model

OKCSA
Chance to win54%46%
Expected points113.6111.3
Fair odds−116+116

Expected margin: OKC by 2.3 · Expected total: 224.8. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
OKC·SA
+1.30
rating (0 = average)
+0.92
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
6−4
last 10
4−6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 6−4
May 30at OKCSA 111 − 103post
May 28at SASA 118 − 91post
May 26at OKCOKC 127 − 114post
May 24at SASA 103 − 82post
May 22at SAOKC 123 − 108post
May 20at OKCOKC 122 − 113post
May 18at OKCSA 122 − 115post
Feb 4at SASA 116 − 106
Jan 13at OKCOKC 119 − 98
Dec 25, 2025at OKCSA 117 − 102

Rating Trend

OKC · SA · 203 days

OKC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
May 30vs SA103 − 111L
May 28at SA91 − 118L
May 26vs SA127 − 114W
May 24at SA82 − 103L
May 22at SA123 − 108W
May 20vs SA122 − 113W
May 18vs SA115 − 122L
May 11at LAL115 − 110W
May 9at LAL131 − 108W
May 7vs LAL125 − 107W

SA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Jun 13vs NY90 − 94L
Jun 10at NY106 − 107L
Jun 8at NY115 − 111W
Jun 5vs NY104 − 105L
Jun 3vs NY95 − 105L
May 30at OKC111 − 103W
May 28vs OKC118 − 91W
May 26at OKC114 − 127L
May 24vs OKC103 − 82W
May 22vs OKC108 − 123L