Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / DAL at HOU
Away Dallas Mavericks #24 in NBA  ·  22% to win
at
Home Houston Rockets #8 in NBA  ·  78% to win
WED 7:30P CT · Oct 16 NBA Toyota Center (Houston)

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Dallas Mavericks 22%
Houston Rockets 78%

Chance to win, from our model

DALHOU
Chance to win22%78%
Expected points107.9118.8
Fair odds+346−346

Expected margin: HOU by 10.9 · Expected total: 226.6. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
DAL·HOU
−0.56
rating (0 = average)
+0.46
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
5−5

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · HOU 5−5
Jan 31at HOUHOU 111 − 107
Jan 3at DALDAL 110 − 104
Dec 6, 2025at DALDAL 122 − 109
Nov 3, 2025at HOUHOU 110 − 102
Mar 14, 2025at HOUHOU 133 − 96
Feb 8, 2025at DALDAL 116 − 105
Jan 1, 2025at HOUHOU 110 − 99
Oct 31, 2024at DALHOU 108 − 102
Apr 7, 2024at DALDAL 147 − 136
Mar 31, 2024at HOUDAL 125 − 107

Rating Trend

DAL · HOU · 203 days

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Apr 12vs CHI149 − 128W
Apr 10at SA120 − 139L
Apr 8at PHX107 − 112L
Apr 7at LAC103 − 116L
Apr 5vs LAL134 − 128W
Apr 3vs ORL127 − 138L
Mar 31at MIL99 − 123L
Mar 30vs MIN94 − 124L
Mar 27at POR100 − 93W
Mar 25at DEN135 − 142L

HOU · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
May 1vs LAL78 − 98L
Apr 29at LAL99 − 93W
Apr 26vs LAL115 − 96W
Apr 24vs LAL108 − 112L
Apr 21at LAL94 − 101L
Apr 18at LAL98 − 107L
Apr 12vs MEM132 − 101W
Apr 10vs MIN132 − 136L
Apr 9vs PHI113 − 102W
Apr 7at PHX119 − 105W