Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
The Forecast
Updated Oct 16Indiana Pacers 46%
New Orleans Pelicans 54%
Chance to win, from our model
← IND
even
NO →
Our forecast
NO 54%
NO 54%
| IND | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 46% | 54% |
| Expected points | 118.1 | 120.0 |
| Fair odds | +116 | −116 |
Expected margin: NO by 1.9 · Expected total: 238.2. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season
IND·NO
−0.55
rating (0 = average)
−0.63
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
1−9
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · NO 5−5Jan 16at INDIND 127 − 119
Dec 20, 2025at NONO 128 − 109
Dec 15, 2024at INDIND 119 − 104
Nov 25, 2024at INDIND 114 − 110
Nov 1, 2024at NONO 125 − 118
Mar 1, 2024at NONO 129 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at INDIND 123 − 114
Dec 26, 2022at NONO 113 − 93
Nov 7, 2022at INDIND 129 − 122
Jan 24, 2022at NONO 117 − 113
Rating Trend
IND · NO · 203 daysIND · Last 10
3−7 · streak L2Apr 12vs DET121 − 133L
Apr 10vs PHI94 − 105L
Apr 9at BKN123 − 94W
Apr 7vs MIN104 − 124L
Apr 5at CLE108 − 117L
Apr 3at CHA108 − 129L
Apr 1at CHI145 − 126W
Mar 29vs MIA135 − 118W
Mar 27vs LAC113 − 114L
Mar 25vs LAL130 − 137L
NO · Last 10
1−9 · streak L2Apr 12at MIN126 − 132L
Apr 10at BOS118 − 144L
Apr 7vs UTAH156 − 137W
Apr 5vs ORL108 − 112L
Apr 3at SAC113 − 117L
Apr 2at POR106 − 118L
Mar 29vs HOU102 − 134L
Mar 27at TOR106 − 119L
Mar 26at DET108 − 129L
Mar 24at NY116 − 121L