Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / ATL at CHA
Away Atlanta Hawks #12 in NBA  ·  45% to win
at
Home Charlotte Hornets #13 in NBA  ·  55% to win
FRI 6:00P CT · Oct 16 NBA Spectrum Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Atlanta Hawks 45%
Charlotte Hornets 55%

Chance to win, from our model

ATLCHA
Chance to win45%55%
Expected points113.6116.2
Fair odds+123−123

Expected margin: CHA by 2.6 · Expected total: 229.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
ATL·CHA
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
6−4

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 4−6
Feb 11at CHACHA 110 − 107
Feb 7at ATLCHA 126 − 119
Dec 18, 2025at CHACHA 133 − 126
Nov 23, 2025at ATLATL 113 − 110
Mar 18, 2025at CHAATL 134 − 102
Mar 12, 2025at ATLATL 123 − 110
Nov 30, 2024at CHAATL 107 − 104
Oct 25, 2024at ATLATL 125 − 120
Apr 10, 2024at ATLCHA 115 − 114
Mar 23, 2024at ATLATL 132 − 91

Rating Trend

ATL · CHA · 203 days

ATL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Apr 30vs NY89 − 140L
Apr 28at NY97 − 126L
Apr 25vs NY98 − 114L
Apr 23vs NY109 − 108W
Apr 20at NY107 − 106W
Apr 18at NY102 − 113L
Apr 12at MIA117 − 143L
Apr 10vs CLE124 − 102W
Apr 8at CLE116 − 122L
Apr 6vs NY105 − 108L

CHA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W
Apr 2vs PHX127 − 107W
Mar 31at BKN117 − 86W
Mar 29vs BOS99 − 114L
Mar 28vs PHI114 − 118L
Mar 26vs NY114 − 103W