Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / DAL at IND
Away Dallas Mavericks #24 in NBA  ·  44% to win
at
Home Indiana Pacers #23 in NBA  ·  56% to win
FRI 6:00P CT · Oct 16 NBA Gainbridge Fieldhouse

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Dallas Mavericks 44%
Indiana Pacers 56%

Chance to win, from our model

DALIND
Chance to win44%56%
Expected points117.4119.7
Fair odds+128−128

Expected margin: IND by 2.3 · Expected total: 237.0. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
DAL·IND
−0.56
rating (0 = average)
−0.55
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
3−7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 6−4
Feb 22at INDDAL 134 − 130
Oct 29, 2025at DALDAL 107 − 105
Mar 19, 2025at INDIND 135 − 131
Nov 4, 2024at DALIND 134 − 127
Mar 5, 2024at DALIND 137 − 120
Feb 25, 2024at INDIND 133 − 111
Mar 27, 2023at INDDAL 127 − 104
Feb 28, 2023at DALIND 124 − 122
Jan 29, 2022at DALDAL 132 − 105
Dec 10, 2021at INDIND 106 − 93

Rating Trend

DAL · IND · 203 days

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Apr 12vs CHI149 − 128W
Apr 10at SA120 − 139L
Apr 8at PHX107 − 112L
Apr 7at LAC103 − 116L
Apr 5vs LAL134 − 128W
Apr 3vs ORL127 − 138L
Mar 31at MIL99 − 123L
Mar 30vs MIN94 − 124L
Mar 27at POR100 − 93W
Mar 25at DEN135 − 142L

IND · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Apr 12vs DET121 − 133L
Apr 10vs PHI94 − 105L
Apr 9at BKN123 − 94W
Apr 7vs MIN104 − 124L
Apr 5at CLE108 − 117L
Apr 3at CHA108 − 129L
Apr 1at CHI145 − 126W
Mar 29vs MIA135 − 118W
Mar 27vs LAC113 − 114L
Mar 25vs LAL130 − 137L