Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / HOU at SA
Away Houston Rockets #8 in NBA  ·  34% to win
at
Home San Antonio Spurs #3 in NBA  ·  66% to win
FRI 8:30P CT · Oct 16 NBA Moody Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Houston Rockets 34%
San Antonio Spurs 66%

Chance to win, from our model

HOUSA
Chance to win34%66%
Expected points108.1112.6
Fair odds+198−198

Expected margin: SA by 4.4 · Expected total: 220.7. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
HOU·SA
+0.46
rating (0 = average)
+0.92
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
4−6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 4−6
Mar 8at SASA 145 − 120
Jan 28at HOUSA 111 − 99
Jan 20at HOUHOU 111 − 106
Nov 7, 2025at SASA 121 − 110
Feb 26, 2025at HOUHOU 118 − 106
Nov 6, 2024at HOUHOU 127 − 100
Oct 28, 2024at SAHOU 106 − 101
Oct 26, 2024at SASA 109 − 106
Mar 12, 2024at SAHOU 103 − 101
Mar 5, 2024at HOUHOU 114 − 101

Rating Trend

HOU · SA · 203 days

HOU · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
May 1vs LAL78 − 98L
Apr 29at LAL99 − 93W
Apr 26vs LAL115 − 96W
Apr 24vs LAL108 − 112L
Apr 21at LAL94 − 101L
Apr 18at LAL98 − 107L
Apr 12vs MEM132 − 101W
Apr 10vs MIN132 − 136L
Apr 9vs PHI113 − 102W
Apr 7at PHX119 − 105W

SA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Jun 13vs NY90 − 94L
Jun 10at NY106 − 107L
Jun 8at NY115 − 111W
Jun 5vs NY104 − 105L
Jun 3vs NY95 − 105L
May 30at OKC111 − 103W
May 28vs OKC118 − 91W
May 26at OKC114 − 127L
May 24vs OKC103 − 82W
May 22vs OKC108 − 123L