Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 16 / MEM at GS
Away Memphis Grizzlies #25 in NBA  ·  32% to win
at
Home Golden State Warriors #19 in NBA  ·  68% to win
FRI 9:00P CT · Oct 16 NBA Chase Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Memphis Grizzlies 32%
Golden State Warriors 68%

Chance to win, from our model

MEMGS
Chance to win32%68%
Expected points114.3121.0
Fair odds+215−215

Expected margin: GS by 6.8 · Expected total: 235.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
MEM·GS
−0.59
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
1−9
last 10
3−7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · GS 8−2
Feb 25at MEMGS 133 − 112
Feb 9at GSGS 114 − 113
Oct 27, 2025at GSGS 131 − 118
Apr 1, 2025at MEMGS 134 − 125
Jan 4, 2025at GSGS 121 − 113
Dec 19, 2024at MEMMEM 144 − 93
Nov 15, 2024at GSGS 123 − 118
Mar 20, 2024at GSGS 137 − 116
Feb 2, 2024at MEMGS 121 − 101
Jan 15, 2024at MEMMEM 116 − 107

Rating Trend

MEM · GS · 203 days

MEM · Last 10

1−9 · streak L8
Apr 12at HOU101 − 132L
Apr 10at UTAH101 − 147L
Apr 8at DEN119 − 136L
Apr 6vs CLE126 − 142L
Apr 5at MIL115 − 131L
Apr 3vs TOR96 − 128L
Apr 1vs NY119 − 130L
Mar 30vs PHX105 − 131L
Mar 28vs CHI125 − 124W
Mar 27vs HOU109 − 119L

GS · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Apr 12at LAC110 − 115L
Apr 10at SAC118 − 124L
Apr 9vs LAL103 − 119L
Apr 7vs SAC110 − 105W
Apr 5vs HOU116 − 117L
Apr 2vs CLE111 − 118L
Apr 1vs SA113 − 127L
Mar 29at DEN93 − 116L
Mar 27vs WSH131 − 126W
Mar 25vs BKN109 − 106W