Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
The Forecast
Updated Oct 17Golden State Warriors 42%
Phoenix Suns 58%
Chance to win, from our model
← GS
even
PHX →
Our forecast
GS 42% · PHX 58%
GS 42% · PHX 58%
| GS | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| Our chance | 42% | 58% |
| Our fair odds | +139 | −139 |
| Expected points | 110.7 | 112.7 |
Expected margin: PHX by 2.0 · Expected total: 223.5. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season
GS·PHX
−0.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.05
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
3−7
last 10
3−7
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · PHX 4−6Feb 5at PHXGS 101 − 97
Dec 20, 2025at GSGS 119 − 116
Dec 18, 2025at PHXPHX 99 − 98
Nov 4, 2025at GSGS 118 − 107
Apr 8, 2025at PHXGS 133 − 95
Jan 31, 2025at GSPHX 130 − 105
Dec 28, 2024at GSGS 109 − 105
Nov 30, 2024at PHXPHX 113 − 105
Feb 10, 2024at GSGS 113 − 112
Dec 12, 2023at PHXPHX 119 − 116
Rating Trend
GS · PHX · 204 daysGS · Last 10
3−7 · streak L3Apr 12at LAC110 − 115L
Apr 10at SAC118 − 124L
Apr 9vs LAL103 − 119L
Apr 7vs SAC110 − 105W
Apr 5vs HOU116 − 117L
Apr 2vs CLE111 − 118L
Apr 1vs SA113 − 127L
Mar 29at DEN93 − 116L
Mar 27vs WSH131 − 126W
Mar 25vs BKN109 − 106W
PHX · Last 10
3−7 · streak L4Apr 27vs OKC122 − 131L
Apr 25vs OKC109 − 121L
Apr 22at OKC107 − 120L
Apr 19at OKC84 − 119L
Apr 12at OKC135 − 103W
Apr 10at LAL73 − 101L
Apr 8vs DAL112 − 107W
Apr 7vs HOU105 − 119L
Apr 5at CHI120 − 110W
Apr 2at CHA107 − 127L