Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 17 / HOU at ATL
Away Houston Rockets #8 in NBA  ·  51% to win
at
Home Atlanta Hawks #12 in NBA  ·  49% to win
SAT 7:30P CT · Oct 17 NBA State Farm Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
Houston Rockets 51%
Atlanta Hawks 49%

Chance to win, from our model

HOUATL
Our chance51%49%
Our fair odds−105+105
Expected points114.1112.8

Expected margin: HOU by 1.3 · Expected total: 226.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
HOU·ATL
+0.46
rating (0 = average)
+0.18
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
5−5
last 10
3−7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ATL 4−6
Mar 20at HOUHOU 117 − 95
Jan 29at ATLHOU 104 − 86
Mar 25, 2025at HOUHOU 121 − 114
Jan 28, 2025at ATLHOU 100 − 96
Feb 10, 2024at ATLATL 122 − 113
Dec 20, 2023at HOUATL 134 − 127
Nov 25, 2022at HOUHOU 128 − 122
Oct 19, 2022at ATLATL 117 − 107
Apr 10, 2022at HOUATL 130 − 114
Dec 13, 2021at ATLHOU 132 − 126

Rating Trend

HOU · ATL · 204 days

HOU · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
May 1vs LAL78 − 98L
Apr 29at LAL99 − 93W
Apr 26vs LAL115 − 96W
Apr 24vs LAL108 − 112L
Apr 21at LAL94 − 101L
Apr 18at LAL98 − 107L
Apr 12vs MEM132 − 101W
Apr 10vs MIN132 − 136L
Apr 9vs PHI113 − 102W
Apr 7at PHX119 − 105W

ATL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Apr 30vs NY89 − 140L
Apr 28at NY97 − 126L
Apr 25vs NY98 − 114L
Apr 23vs NY109 − 108W
Apr 20at NY107 − 106W
Apr 18at NY102 − 113L
Apr 12at MIA117 − 143L
Apr 10vs CLE124 − 102W
Apr 8at CLE116 − 122L
Apr 6vs NY105 − 108L