Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Oct 17 / NO at DEN
Away New Orleans Pelicans #26 in NBA  ·  20% to win
at
Home Denver Nuggets #6 in NBA  ·  80% to win
SAT 8:00P CT · Oct 17 NBA Ball Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
New Orleans Pelicans 20%
Denver Nuggets 80%

Chance to win, from our model

NODEN
Our chance20%80%
Our fair odds+391−391
Expected points114.9126.3

Expected margin: DEN by 11.4 · Expected total: 241.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season
NO·DEN
−0.63
rating (0 = average)
+0.52
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
1−9
last 10
6−4

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DEN 8−2
Jan 13at NODEN 122 − 116
Nov 19, 2025at NODEN 125 − 118
Oct 29, 2025at DENDEN 122 − 88
Feb 5, 2025at DENDEN 144 − 119
Feb 3, 2025at DENDEN 125 − 113
Dec 22, 2024at NODEN 132 − 129
Nov 15, 2024at NONO 101 − 94
Jan 12, 2024at DENDEN 125 − 113
Nov 17, 2023at NONO 115 − 110
Nov 6, 2023at DENDEN 134 − 116

Rating Trend

NO · DEN · 204 days

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Apr 12at MIN126 − 132L
Apr 10at BOS118 − 144L
Apr 7vs UTAH156 − 137W
Apr 5vs ORL108 − 112L
Apr 3at SAC113 − 117L
Apr 2at POR106 − 118L
Mar 29vs HOU102 − 134L
Mar 27at TOR106 − 119L
Mar 26at DET108 − 129L
Mar 24at NY116 − 121L

DEN · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Apr 30at MIN98 − 110L
Apr 27vs MIN125 − 113W
Apr 25at MIN96 − 112L
Apr 23at MIN96 − 113L
Apr 20vs MIN114 − 119L
Apr 18vs MIN116 − 105W
Apr 12at SA128 − 118W
Apr 10vs OKC127 − 107W
Apr 8vs MEM136 − 119W
Apr 6vs POR137 − 132W