Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
The Forecast
Updated Oct 17San Antonio Spurs 78%
Dallas Mavericks 22%
Chance to win, from our model
← SA
even
DAL →
Our forecast
SA 78% · DAL 22%
SA 78% · DAL 22%
| SA | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Our chance | 78% | 22% |
| Our fair odds | −344 | +344 |
| Expected points | 121.8 | 111.3 |
Expected margin: SA by 10.5 · Expected total: 233.0. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season
SA·DAL
+0.92
rating (0 = average)
−0.56
0−0
season record
0−0
0−0
home record
0−0
0−0
away record
0−0
—
streak
—
4−6
last 10
3−7
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · DAL 5−5Apr 10at SASA 139 − 120
Feb 7at SASA 138 − 125
Feb 5at DALSA 135 − 123
Oct 22, 2025at DALSA 125 − 92
Mar 12, 2025at SASA 126 − 116
Mar 10, 2025at SADAL 133 − 129
Nov 16, 2024at DALDAL 110 − 93
Oct 24, 2024at DALDAL 120 − 109
Mar 19, 2024at SADAL 113 − 107
Feb 14, 2024at DALDAL 116 − 93
Rating Trend
SA · DAL · 204 daysSA · Last 10
4−6 · streak L2Jun 13vs NY90 − 94L
Jun 10at NY106 − 107L
Jun 8at NY115 − 111W
Jun 5vs NY104 − 105L
Jun 3vs NY95 − 105L
May 30at OKC111 − 103W
May 28vs OKC118 − 91W
May 26at OKC114 − 127L
May 24vs OKC103 − 82W
May 22vs OKC108 − 123L
DAL · Last 10
3−7 · streak W1Apr 12vs CHI149 − 128W
Apr 10at SA120 − 139L
Apr 8at PHX107 − 112L
Apr 7at LAC103 − 116L
Apr 5vs LAL134 − 128W
Apr 3vs ORL127 − 138L
Mar 31at MIL99 − 123L
Mar 30vs MIN94 − 124L
Mar 27at POR100 − 93W
Mar 25at DEN135 − 142L