at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:09 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Buffalo Sabres 45%
Montreal Canadiens 55%
Chance to win, from our model
← BUF
even
MTL →
Kalshi market price
MTL 60¢ Our forecast
MTL 55%
MTL 60¢ Our forecast
MTL 55%
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 45% | 55% |
| Expected goals | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Fair odds | +120 | −120 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: MTL 60¢ · BUF 40¢. Our MTL forecast is 5 points lower than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
MTL price in cents, 6:00 AM CT to 8:08 AM CTchart runs 47¢ to 68¢latest 60¢
— Kalshi market price for MTL - - Our forecast: MTL 55% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
BUF·MTL
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
−0.08
2.7
goals / game
3.0
3.7
goals allowed / game
3.8
3−3
season record
2−3
3−2
home record
1−2
0−1
away record
1−1
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
27.3
shots / game
26.4
47.4
faceoff %
53.9
19.3
hits / game
22.0
12.7
blocked shots / game
12.0
2.3
takeaways / game
5.0
17.0
giveaways / game
15.2
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · MTL 5−5May 18at BUFMTL 3 − 2 OTpost
May 16at MTLBUF 8 − 3post
May 14at BUFMTL 6 − 3post
May 12at MTLBUF 3 − 2post
May 10at MTLMTL 6 − 2post
May 8at BUFMTL 5 − 1post
May 6at BUFBUF 4 − 2post
Jan 31at BUFMTL 4 − 2
Jan 22at MTLBUF 4 − 2
Jan 15at BUFBUF 5 − 3
Rating Trend
BUF · MTL · 10 daysBUF · Last 10
5−5 · streak W1Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 6vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 3vs CHI4 − 3W
Oct 1at CBJ3 − 6L
May 18vs MTL2 − 3L
May 16at MTL8 − 3W
May 14vs MTL3 − 6L
May 12at MTL3 − 2W
MTL · Last 10
3−7 · streak W1Oct 10vs DET1 − 0W
Oct 8vs NSH2 − 5L
Oct 6vs CAR4 − 6L
Oct 3at PIT5 − 6L
Sep 29at TOR3 − 2W
May 29at CAR1 − 6L
May 27vs CAR0 − 4L
May 25vs CAR2 − 3L
May 23at CAR2 − 3L
May 21at CAR6 − 2W