at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:10 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Seattle Kraken 54%
Philadelphia Flyers 46%
Chance to win, from our model
← SEA
even
PHI →
Kalshi market price
PHI 52¢ Our forecast
PHI 46%
PHI 52¢ Our forecast
PHI 46%
| SEA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 54% | 46% |
| Expected goals | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Fair odds | −117 | +117 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.2. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: PHI 52¢ · SEA 48¢. Our PHI forecast is 5 points lower than the market price.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
SEA·PHI
+0.20
rating (0 = average)
−1.13
4.3
goals / game
1.1
2.8
goals allowed / game
4.0
4−2
season record
0−7
1−1
home record
0−3
3−1
away record
0−4
W2
streak
L7
5−5
last 10
0−10
26.2
shots / game
20.0
49.6
faceoff %
51.1
17.8
hits / game
23.9
17.8
blocked shots / game
17.0
5.7
takeaways / game
4.3
15.7
giveaways / game
17.6
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6Dec 28, 2025at SEASEA 4 − 1
Oct 20, 2025at PHIPHI 5 − 2
Mar 8, 2025at PHISEA 4 − 1
Oct 17, 2024at SEASEA 6 − 4
Feb 10, 2024at PHIPHI 3 − 2
Dec 29, 2023at SEASEA 2 − 1 OT
Feb 16, 2023at SEASEA 6 − 2
Feb 12, 2023at PHISEA 4 − 3
Dec 29, 2021at SEAPHI 3 − 2 OT
Oct 18, 2021at PHIPHI 6 − 1
Rating Trend
SEA · PHI · 10 daysSEA · Last 10
5−5 · streak W2Oct 11at WSH5 − 3W
Oct 9at DET6 − 3W
Oct 6vs VGK2 − 6L
Oct 4vs CGY6 − 1W
Oct 3at EDM1 − 3L
Oct 1at CGY6 − 1W
Apr 16at COL0 − 2L
Apr 15at VGK1 − 4L
Apr 13vs LA3 − 5L
Apr 11vs CGY4 − 1W
PHI · Last 10
0−10 · streak L10Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L
Oct 8at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 5at TB1 − 4L
Oct 3vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 1at NJ2 − 3L
Sep 30vs PIT0 − 7L
May 9vs CAR2 − 3L
May 7vs CAR1 − 4L
May 4at CAR2 − 3L