at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:12 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Tampa Bay Lightning 41%
New York Rangers 59%
Chance to win, from our model
← TB
even
NYR →
Kalshi market price
NYR 40¢ Our forecast
NYR 59%
NYR 40¢ Our forecast
NYR 59%
| TB | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 41% | 59% |
| Expected goals | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Fair odds | +141 | −141 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.1. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: NYR 40¢ · TB 60¢. Our NYR forecast is 19 points higher than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
NYR price in cents, 6:00 AM CT to 7:03 AM CTchart runs 32¢ to 67¢latest 40¢
— Kalshi market price for NYR - - Our forecast: NYR 59% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
TB·NYR
+0.37
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
3.2
goals / game
3.3
2.4
goals allowed / game
1.9
4−1
season record
5−2
3−0
home record
4−0
1−1
away record
1−2
W4
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
6−4
30.2
shots / game
23.3
47.8
faceoff %
53.7
21.2
hits / game
27.4
15.0
blocked shots / game
15.4
4.2
takeaways / game
4.3
15.2
giveaways / game
15.4
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · NYR 6−4Oct 1at NYRNYR 5 − 1
Apr 15at TBNYR 4 − 2
Nov 29, 2025at NYRTB 4 − 1
Nov 12, 2025at TBNYR 7 − 3
Apr 17, 2025at NYRNYR 4 − 0
Apr 7, 2025at NYRTB 5 − 1
Dec 28, 2024at TBTB 6 − 2
Mar 14, 2024at TBTB 6 − 3
Feb 7, 2024at NYRNYR 3 − 1
Dec 30, 2023at TBNYR 5 − 1
Rating Trend
TB · NYR · 10 daysTB · Last 10
6−4 · streak W4Oct 10at NYI5 − 3W
Oct 8vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 5vs PHI4 − 1W
Oct 3vs WSH3 − 1W
Oct 1at NYR1 − 5L
May 3vs MTL1 − 2L
May 1at MTL1 − 0W
Apr 29vs MTL2 − 3L
Apr 26at MTL3 − 2W
Apr 24at MTL2 − 3L
NYR · Last 10
6−4 · streak W1Oct 11vs VAN6 − 2W
Oct 9at WSH1 − 3L
Oct 6vs NYI5 − 2W
Oct 4vs UTAH4 − 2W
Oct 2at DET2 − 0W
Oct 1vs TB5 − 1W
Sep 29at BOS0 − 3L
Apr 15at TB4 − 2W
Apr 13at FLA2 − 3L
Apr 11at DAL0 − 2L