← NHL / Oct 13 / TOR at UTAH
Away · 3−3 Toronto Maple Leafs #16 in NHL  ·  44% to win
at
Home · 4−2 Utah Mammoth #8 in NHL  ·  56% to win
TUE 8:00P CT · Oct 13 NHL Delta Center

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:06 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Toronto Maple Leafs 44%
Utah Mammoth 56%

Chance to win, from our model

TORUTAH
Chance to win44%56%
Expected goals3.03.3
Fair odds+127−127

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: UTAH 58¢ · TOR 42¢. Our UTAH forecast is 3 points lower than the market price.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
TOR·UTAH
+0.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.26
3.3
goals / game
3.7
3.0
goals allowed / game
2.5
3−3
season record
4−2
2−2
home record
1−0
1−1
away record
3−2
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
27.8
shots / game
31.8
52.2
faceoff %
53.3
19.2
hits / game
28.8
15.7
blocked shots / game
15.7
4.3
takeaways / game
4.5
16.3
giveaways / game
18.0

Head to Head

last 4 meetings · UTAH 1−3
Jan 13at UTAHUTAH 6 − 1
Nov 5, 2025at TORTOR 5 − 3
Mar 10, 2025at UTAHTOR 4 − 3 SO
Nov 24, 2024at TORTOR 3 − 2

Rating Trend

TOR · UTAH · 10 days

TOR · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 10at COL6 − 3W
Oct 8at VGK3 − 4L
Oct 6vs NSH5 − 4W
Oct 3vs OTT2 − 3L
Sep 30vs NYI2 − 1W
Sep 29vs MTL2 − 3L
Apr 15at OTT1 − 3L
Apr 13vs DAL5 − 6L
Apr 11vs FLA2 − 6L
Apr 9at NYI3 − 5L

UTAH · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 10at BUF4 − 1W
Oct 8at BOS1 − 6L
Oct 6at NJ5 − 3W
Oct 4at NYR2 − 4L
Oct 3at CBJ4 − 1W
Oct 1vs CHI6 − 0W
May 1vs VGK1 − 5L
Apr 29at VGK4 − 5L
Apr 27vs VGK4 − 5L
Apr 24vs VGK4 − 2W