← NHL / Oct 13 / VAN at NYI
Away · 2−5 Vancouver Canucks #27 in NHL  ·  37% to win
at
Home · 2−3 New York Islanders #21 in NHL  ·  63% to win
TUE 6:45P CT · Oct 13 NHL UBS Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:09 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Vancouver Canucks 37%
New York Islanders 63%

Chance to win, from our model

VANNYI
Chance to win37%63%
Expected goals2.83.6
Fair odds+168−168

Expected margin: NYI by 0.8 · Expected total: 6.4. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: NYI 66¢ · VAN 34¢. Our NYI forecast is 4 points lower than the market price.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
VAN·NYI
−0.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.06
3.4
goals / game
3.2
5.0
goals allowed / game
2.6
2−5
season record
2−3
1−2
home record
2−1
1−3
away record
0−2
L4
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
3−7
21.9
shots / game
24.0
48.0
faceoff %
51.5
25.1
hits / game
24.4
15.7
blocked shots / game
14.4
4.9
takeaways / game
4.4
16.4
giveaways / game
16.4

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NYI 4−6
Jan 19at VANNYI 4 − 3
Dec 19, 2025at NYIVAN 4 − 1
Mar 26, 2025at NYIVAN 5 − 2
Nov 14, 2024at VANNYI 5 − 2
Jan 9, 2024at NYIVAN 5 − 2
Nov 15, 2023at VANVAN 4 − 3 OT
Feb 9, 2023at NYIVAN 6 − 5
Jan 3, 2023at VANNYI 6 − 2
Mar 3, 2022at NYIVAN 4 − 3
Feb 9, 2022at VANNYI 6 − 3

Rating Trend

VAN · NYI · 10 days

VAN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Oct 11at NYR2 − 6L
Oct 10at NJ1 − 4L
Oct 8at CAR2 − 7L
Oct 4vs VGK2 − 3L
Oct 3vs CGY4 − 1W
Oct 1vs EDM7 − 9L
Sep 29at EDM6 − 5W
Apr 16at EDM1 − 6L
Apr 14vs LA4 − 3W
Apr 12at ANA4 − 3W

NYI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 10vs TB3 − 5L
Oct 8vs CHI4 − 1W
Oct 6at NYR2 − 5L
Oct 3vs NJ6 − 0W
Sep 30at TOR1 − 2L
Apr 14vs CAR1 − 2L
Apr 12vs MTL1 − 4L
Apr 11vs OTT0 − 3L
Apr 9vs TOR5 − 3W
Apr 4at CAR3 − 4L