← NHL / Oct 14 / DAL at COL
Away · 2−4 Dallas Stars #5 in NHL  ·  39% to win
at
Home · 4−2 Colorado Avalanche #2 in NHL  ·  61% to win
WED 7:30P CT · Oct 14 NHL Ball Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:44 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Dallas Stars 39%
Colorado Avalanche 61%

Chance to win, from our model

DALCOL
Chance to win39%61%
Expected goals2.73.4
Fair odds+153−153

Expected margin: COL by 0.7 · Expected total: 6.1. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: COL 56¢ · DAL 44¢. Our COL forecast is 4 points higher than the market price.

Kalshi market price today

COL price in cents, 11:48 AM CT to 8:37 AM CT
chart runs 46¢ to 69¢latest 56¢

— Kalshi market price for COL   - - Our forecast: COL 61% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
DAL·COL
+0.17
rating (0 = average)
+0.49
2.2
goals / game
4.8
1.8
goals allowed / game
3.2
2−4
season record
4−2
1−2
home record
2−1
1−2
away record
2−1
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
4−6
25.0
shots / game
31.2
56.0
faceoff %
48.4
22.0
hits / game
17.7
15.5
blocked shots / game
14.2
2.8
takeaways / game
4.8
14.0
giveaways / game
17.7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · COL 5−5
Oct 13at DALCOL 3 − 2
Apr 4at DALCOL 2 − 0
Mar 18at COLDAL 2 − 1 SO
Mar 6at DALCOL 5 − 4 SO
Oct 11, 2025at COLDAL 5 − 4 SO
May 3, 2025at DALDAL 4 − 2post
May 1, 2025at COLCOL 7 − 4post
Apr 28, 2025at DALDAL 6 − 2post
Apr 26, 2025at COLCOL 4 − 0post
Apr 23, 2025at COLDAL 2 − 1 OTpost

Rating Trend

DAL · COL · 15 days

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 13vs COL2 − 3L
Oct 10at PIT1 − 2L
Oct 8at BUF4 − 0W
Oct 5vs SJ5 − 0W
Oct 3at NSH1 − 2L
Oct 2vs STL0 − 4L
Apr 30at MIN2 − 5L
Apr 28vs MIN2 − 4L
Apr 25at MIN2 − 3L
Apr 22at MIN4 − 3W

COL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 13at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TOR3 − 6L
Oct 8at CGY7 − 3W
Oct 7at WPG2 − 3L
Oct 3vs STL6 − 1W
Sep 30vs LA8 − 4W
May 26at VGK1 − 2L
May 24at VGK3 − 5L
May 22vs VGK1 − 3L
May 20vs VGK2 − 4L