← NHL / Oct 14 / MTL at WSH
Away · 3−3 Montreal Canadiens #12 in NHL  ·  47% to win
at
Home · 3−3 Washington Capitals #9 in NHL  ·  53% to win
WED 6:30P CT · Oct 14 NHL Capital One Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:44 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Montreal Canadiens 47%
Washington Capitals 53%

Chance to win, from our model

MTLWSH
Chance to win47%53%
Expected goals3.03.2
Fair odds+115−115

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: WSH 54¢ · MTL 46¢. Our WSH forecast is 0 points lower than the market price.

Kalshi market price today

WSH price in cents, 11:48 AM CT to 8:29 AM CT
chart runs 45¢ to 64¢latest 54¢

— Kalshi market price for WSH   - - Our forecast: WSH 53% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
MTL·WSH
+0.11
rating (0 = average)
+0.13
3.2
goals / game
3.2
3.7
goals allowed / game
3.0
3−3
season record
3−3
2−2
home record
2−1
1−1
away record
1−2
W2
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
7−3
28.3
shots / game
26.7
53.1
faceoff %
50.4
22.0
hits / game
22.3
12.5
blocked shots / game
17.2
4.7
takeaways / game
2.8
15.7
giveaways / game
16.7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 7−3
Feb 28at MTLMTL 6 − 2
Jan 13at WSHWSH 3 − 2 OT
Nov 20, 2025at MTLWSH 8 − 4
Apr 30, 2025at WSHWSH 4 − 1post
Apr 27, 2025at MTLWSH 5 − 2post
Apr 25, 2025at MTLMTL 6 − 3post
Apr 23, 2025at WSHWSH 3 − 1post
Apr 21, 2025at WSHWSH 3 − 2 OTpost
Jan 10, 2025at WSHMTL 3 − 2 OT
Dec 7, 2024at MTLWSH 4 − 2

Rating Trend

MTL · WSH · 15 days

MTL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Oct 13vs BUF4 − 3W
Oct 10vs DET1 − 0W
Oct 8vs NSH2 − 5L
Oct 6vs CAR4 − 6L
Oct 3at PIT5 − 6L
Sep 29at TOR3 − 2W
May 29at CAR1 − 6L
May 27vs CAR0 − 4L
May 25vs CAR2 − 3L
May 23at CAR2 − 3L

WSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak L2
Oct 13at CAR2 − 4L
Oct 11vs SEA3 − 5L
Oct 9vs NYR3 − 1W
Oct 7vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 3at TB1 − 3L
Oct 2at CAR5 − 2W
Apr 14at CBJ2 − 1W
Apr 12vs PIT3 − 0W
Apr 11at PIT6 − 3W
Apr 8at TOR4 − 0W