at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:07 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Buffalo Sabres 54%
Toronto Maple Leafs 46%
Chance to win, from our model
← BUF
even
TOR →
Kalshi market price
TOR 52¢ Our forecast
TOR 46%
TOR 52¢ Our forecast
TOR 46%
| BUF | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 54% | 46% |
| Expected goals | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| Fair odds | −118 | +118 |
Expected margin: BUF by 0.6 · Expected total: 6.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: TOR 52¢ · BUF 48¢. Our TOR forecast is 6 points lower than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
TOR price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 6:44 AM CTchart runs 38¢ to 60¢latest 52¢
— Kalshi market price for TOR - - Our forecast: TOR 46% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
BUF·TOR
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.12
2.7
goals / game
3.4
3.7
goals allowed / game
3.3
3−4
season record
3−4
3−2
home record
2−2
0−2
away record
1−2
L1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
3−7
25.9
shots / game
27.6
47.9
faceoff %
52.2
20.0
hits / game
18.4
11.9
blocked shots / game
15.6
2.6
takeaways / game
4.6
17.0
giveaways / game
16.6
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · TOR 6−4Mar 14at BUFBUF 3 − 2 SO
Jan 27at TORBUF 7 − 4
Oct 25, 2025at TORTOR 4 − 3 OT
Oct 24, 2025at BUFBUF 5 − 3
Apr 15, 2025at BUFTOR 4 − 0
Dec 20, 2024at BUFTOR 6 − 3
Dec 15, 2024at TORTOR 5 − 3
Mar 30, 2024at BUFTOR 3 − 0
Mar 6, 2024at TORTOR 2 − 1 OT
Dec 21, 2023at BUFBUF 9 − 3
Rating Trend
BUF · TOR · 16 daysBUF · Last 10
4−6 · streak L1Oct 13at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 6vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 3vs CHI4 − 3W
Oct 1at CBJ3 − 6L
May 18vs MTL2 − 3L
May 16at MTL8 − 3W
May 14vs MTL3 − 6L
TOR · Last 10
3−7 · streak L1Oct 13at UTAH4 − 5L
Oct 10at COL6 − 3W
Oct 8at VGK3 − 4L
Oct 6vs NSH5 − 4W
Oct 3vs OTT2 − 3L
Sep 30vs NYI2 − 1W
Sep 29vs MTL2 − 3L
Apr 15at OTT1 − 3L
Apr 13vs DAL5 − 6L
Apr 11vs FLA2 − 6L