← NHL / Oct 15 / CGY at VGK
Away · 1−5 Calgary Flames #30 in NHL  ·  34% to win
at
Home · 6−2 Vegas Golden Knights #4 in NHL  ·  66% to win
THU 9:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL T-Mobile Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:06 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Calgary Flames 34%
Vegas Golden Knights 66%

Chance to win, from our model

CGYVGK
Chance to win34%66%
Expected goals2.33.7
Fair odds+190−190

Expected margin: VGK by 1.5 · Expected total: 6.0. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: VGK 74¢ · CGY 26¢. Our VGK forecast is 9 points lower than the market price.

Kalshi market price today

VGK price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 7:28 AM CT
chart runs 58¢ to 82¢latest 74¢

— Kalshi market price for VGK   - - Our forecast: VGK 66% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
CGY·VGK
−0.32
rating (0 = average)
+0.22
2.0
goals / game
3.8
4.8
goals allowed / game
2.5
1−5
season record
6−2
0−3
home record
3−1
1−2
away record
3−1
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
29.3
shots / game
30.8
50.5
faceoff %
52.1
24.2
hits / game
19.2
13.8
blocked shots / game
13.1
3.8
takeaways / game
3.8
17.2
giveaways / game
17.1

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · VGK 6−4
Apr 2at VGKVGK 6 − 3
Dec 20, 2025at CGYCGY 6 − 3
Oct 18, 2025at VGKVGK 6 − 1
Oct 14, 2025at CGYVGK 4 − 2
Apr 15, 2025at CGYCGY 5 − 4 SO
Apr 5, 2025at CGYVGK 3 − 2 OT
Dec 29, 2024at VGKVGK 3 − 0
Oct 28, 2024at VGKVGK 5 − 0
Mar 14, 2024at CGYCGY 4 − 1
Jan 13, 2024at VGKCGY 3 − 1

Rating Trend

CGY · VGK · 16 days

CGY · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 13at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 10vs ANA2 − 4L
Oct 8vs COL3 − 7L
Oct 4at SEA1 − 6L
Oct 3at VAN1 − 4L
Oct 1vs SEA1 − 6L
Apr 16vs LA3 − 1W
Apr 14vs COL1 − 3L
Apr 12vs UTAH4 − 1W
Apr 11at SEA1 − 4L

VGK · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 13at NSH5 − 2W
Oct 12at MIN2 − 4L
Oct 10vs LA2 − 1W
Oct 8vs TOR4 − 3W
Oct 6at SEA6 − 2W
Oct 4at VAN3 − 2W
Oct 2vs ANA3 − 4L
Sep 29vs CHI5 − 2W
Jun 14vs CAR0 − 3L
Jun 11at CAR2 − 4L