← NHL / Oct 15 / PHI at DET
Away · 0−8 Philadelphia Flyers #27 in NHL  ·  46% to win
at
Home · 1−5 Detroit Red Wings #26 in NHL  ·  54% to win
THU 6:30P CT · Oct 15 NHL Little Caesars Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 8:02 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Philadelphia Flyers 46%
Detroit Red Wings 54%

Chance to win, from our model

PHIDET
Chance to win46%54%
Expected goals2.63.0
Fair odds+116−116

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 5.6. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: DET 56¢ · PHI 44¢. Our DET forecast is 2 points lower than the market price.

Kalshi market price today

DET price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 7:59 AM CT
chart runs 46¢ to 66¢latest 56¢

— Kalshi market price for DET   - - Our forecast: DET 54% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
PHI·DET
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.12
1.2
goals / game
2.3
3.9
goals allowed / game
3.3
0−8
season record
1−5
0−4
home record
1−4
0−4
away record
0−1
L8
streak
L3
0−10
last 10
2−8
20.8
shots / game
31.8
51.6
faceoff %
50.0
24.8
hits / game
25.3
16.5
blocked shots / game
15.0
4.2
takeaways / game
3.8
17.1
giveaways / game
15.8

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 5−5
Apr 9at DETDET 6 − 3
Apr 2at PHIDET 4 − 2
Mar 28at DETPHI 5 − 3
Jan 21, 2025at PHIPHI 2 − 1 OT
Dec 18, 2024at DETDET 6 − 4
Dec 12, 2024at PHIPHI 4 − 1
Jan 25, 2024at DETDET 3 − 0
Dec 22, 2023at DETDET 7 − 6 SO
Dec 16, 2023at PHIPHI 1 − 0
Mar 25, 2023at PHIPHI 3 − 0

Rating Trend

PHI · DET · 16 days

PHI · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Oct 13vs SEA2 − 3L
Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L
Oct 8at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 5at TB1 − 4L
Oct 3vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 1at NJ2 − 3L
Sep 30vs PIT0 − 7L
May 9vs CAR2 − 3L
May 7vs CAR1 − 4L

DET · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 13vs NJ4 − 5L
Oct 10at MTL0 − 1L
Oct 9vs SEA3 − 6L
Oct 6vs OTT5 − 3W
Oct 4vs WPG2 − 3L
Oct 2vs NYR0 − 2L
Apr 15at FLA1 − 8L
Apr 13at TB3 − 4L
Apr 11vs NJ3 − 5L
Apr 9vs PHI6 − 3W