at
The Forecast
Kalshi market price at 8:03 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.Seattle Kraken 39%
Tampa Bay Lightning 61%
Chance to win, from our model
← SEA
even
TB →
Kalshi market price
TB 70¢ Our forecast
TB 61%
TB 70¢ Our forecast
TB 61%
| SEA | TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Chance to win | 39% | 61% |
| Expected goals | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Fair odds | +155 | −155 |
Expected margin: TB by 0.9 · Expected total: 6.1. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market price: TB 70¢ · SEA 31¢. Our TB forecast is 9 points lower than the market price.
Kalshi market price today
TB price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 7:07 AM CTchart runs 53¢ to 78¢latest 70¢
— Kalshi market price for TB - - Our forecast: TB 61% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
SEA·TB
−0.09
rating (0 = average)
+0.25
4.1
goals / game
2.8
2.7
goals allowed / game
2.7
5−2
season record
4−2
1−1
home record
3−0
4−1
away record
1−2
W3
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
26.9
shots / game
29.5
48.9
faceoff %
46.3
17.1
hits / game
21.3
17.7
blocked shots / game
14.5
5.6
takeaways / game
3.8
15.0
giveaways / game
15.5
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · TB 8−2Mar 26at TBSEA 4 − 3 OT
Mar 17at SEATB 6 − 2
Feb 23, 2025at TBTB 4 − 1
Dec 14, 2024at SEATB 5 − 1
Dec 9, 2023at SEATB 4 − 3 OT
Oct 30, 2023at TBSEA 4 − 3 OT
Jan 16, 2023at SEATB 4 − 1
Dec 13, 2022at TBTB 6 − 2
Mar 16, 2022at SEATB 4 − 1
Nov 26, 2021at TBTB 3 − 0
Rating Trend
SEA · TB · 16 daysSEA · Last 10
5−5 · streak W3Oct 13at PHI3 − 2W
Oct 11at WSH5 − 3W
Oct 9at DET6 − 3W
Oct 6vs VGK2 − 6L
Oct 4vs CGY6 − 1W
Oct 3at EDM1 − 3L
Oct 1at CGY6 − 1W
Apr 16at COL0 − 2L
Apr 15at VGK1 − 4L
Apr 13vs LA3 − 5L
TB · Last 10
6−4 · streak L1Oct 13at NYR1 − 4L
Oct 10at NYI5 − 3W
Oct 8vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 5vs PHI4 − 1W
Oct 3vs WSH3 − 1W
Oct 1at NYR1 − 5L
May 3vs MTL1 − 2L
May 1at MTL1 − 0W
Apr 29vs MTL2 − 3L
Apr 26at MTL3 − 2W