← NHL / Oct 16 / PIT at COL
Away · 3−4 Pittsburgh Penguins #15 in NHL  ·  36% to win
at
Home · 4−3 Colorado Avalanche #2 in NHL  ·  64% to win
FRI 8:00P CT · Oct 16 NHL Ball Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi market price at 7:11 AM CT (middle of buy and sell). It's what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Pittsburgh Penguins 36%
Colorado Avalanche 64%

Chance to win, from our model

PITCOL
Chance to win36%64%
Expected goals3.13.8
Fair odds+178−178

Expected margin: COL by 0.8 · Expected total: 6.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market price: COL 66¢ · PIT 34¢. Our COL forecast is 2 points lower than the market price.

Kalshi market price today

COL price in cents, 11:00 PM CT to 7:11 AM CT
chart runs 56¢ to 74¢latest 66¢

— Kalshi market price for COL   - - Our forecast: COL 64% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
PIT·COL
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
+0.48
3.6
goals / game
4.4
3.1
goals allowed / game
3.1
3−4
season record
4−3
2−1
home record
2−2
1−3
away record
2−1
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
28.3
shots / game
30.6
45.2
faceoff %
48.0
11.9
hits / game
17.7
14.3
blocked shots / game
14.6
4.3
takeaways / game
4.4
17.3
giveaways / game
17.7

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · COL 6−4
Mar 24at PITCOL 6 − 2
Mar 16at COLPIT 7 − 2
Mar 4, 2025at COLCOL 4 − 1
Dec 10, 2024at PITCOL 6 − 2
Mar 24, 2024at COLCOL 5 − 4 OT
Oct 26, 2023at PITPIT 4 − 0
Mar 22, 2023at COLPIT 5 − 2
Feb 7, 2023at PITPIT 2 − 1 OT
Apr 5, 2022at PITCOL 6 − 4
Apr 2, 2022at COLCOL 3 − 2

Rating Trend

PIT · COL · 17 days

PIT · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 13at CHI3 − 5L
Oct 10vs DAL2 − 1W
Oct 9at CBJ2 − 3L
Oct 7at WSH3 − 5L
Oct 5vs WPG2 − 3L
Oct 3vs MTL6 − 5W
Sep 30at PHI7 − 0W
Apr 29at PHI0 − 1L
Apr 27vs PHI3 − 2W
Apr 25at PHI4 − 2W

COL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 14vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 13at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TOR3 − 6L
Oct 8at CGY7 − 3W
Oct 7at WPG2 − 3L
Oct 3vs STL6 − 1W
Sep 30vs LA8 − 4W
May 26at VGK1 − 2L
May 24at VGK3 − 5L
May 22vs VGK1 − 3L