Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks prediction, 2026-10-17 (NHL)

← NHL / Oct 17 / DAL at CHI

Away · 3−4 Dallas Stars #6 in NHL · 62% to win

Home · 3−5 Chicago Blackhawks #31 in NHL · 38% to win

SAT 6:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL United Center

The Forecast

Kalshi latest price at 8:02 AM CT, next to our model

Dallas Stars 62%

Chicago Blackhawks 38%

Chance to win, from our model

← DAL even CHI → Kalshi market
DAL 64% · CHI 36% Our forecast
DAL 62% · CHI 38%

	DAL	CHI
Our chance	62%	38%
Our fair odds	−166	+166
Kalshi chance market	64%	36%
Kalshi odds market	−182	+182
Edge (ours − Kalshi)	−2.1 pts	+2.1 pts
Kalshi bid / ask	64¢ / 65¢	35¢ / 36¢
Expected goals	3.4	2.4

Expected margin: DAL by 1.0 · Expected total: 5.8. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:02 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.

Kalshi market price today

CHI price in cents (DAL is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 7:25 AM CT

chart runs 26¢ to 46¢latest 36¢

— Kalshi market price for CHI - - Our forecast: CHI 38% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games

DAL·CHI

+0.19

rating (0 = average)

−0.46

2.3

goals / game

2.6

1.9

goals allowed / game

4.0

3−4

season record

3−5

1−2

home record

3−1

2−2

away record

0−4

streak

3−7

last 10

4−6

24.6

shots / game

21.8

55.8

faceoff %

44.0

22.7

hits / game

15.8

16.0

blocked shots / game

12.0

3.4

takeaways / game

4.6

14.3

giveaways / game

19.5

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 4−6

Mar 8at DALDAL 4 − 3 OT

Jan 1at CHICHI 4 − 3

Dec 27, 2025at DALCHI 4 − 3 SO

Dec 29, 2024at CHIDAL 5 − 1

Nov 27, 2024at CHICHI 6 − 2

Nov 7, 2024at DALDAL 3 − 1

Oct 26, 2024at DALDAL 4 − 2

Apr 6, 2024at CHICHI 3 − 2

Jan 13, 2024at CHIDAL 3 − 1

Dec 31, 2023at DALDAL 8 − 1

Rating Trend

DAL · CHI · 18 days

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1

Oct 14at COL3 − 2W

Oct 13vs COL2 − 3L

Oct 10at PIT1 − 2L

Oct 8at BUF4 − 0W

Oct 5vs SJ5 − 0W

Oct 3at NSH1 − 2L

Oct 2vs STL0 − 4L

Apr 30at MIN2 − 5L

Apr 28vs MIN2 − 4L

Apr 25at MIN2 − 3L

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2

Oct 15vs WPG4 − 3W

Oct 13vs PIT5 − 3W

Oct 10vs CAR2 − 5L

Oct 8at NYI1 − 4L

Oct 6vs STL4 − 2W

Oct 3at BUF3 − 4L

Oct 1at UTAH0 − 6L

Sep 29at VGK2 − 5L

Apr 15vs SJ5 − 2W

Apr 13vs BUF1 − 5L