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The Forecast
Kalshi latest price at 8:02 AM CT, next to our modelEdmonton Oilers 46%
Utah Mammoth 54%
Chance to win, from our model
← EDM
even
UTAH →
Kalshi market
EDM 44% · UTAH 56% Our forecast
EDM 46% · UTAH 54%
EDM 44% · UTAH 56% Our forecast
EDM 46% · UTAH 54%
| EDM | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Our chance | 46% | 54% |
| Our fair odds | +116 | −116 |
| Kalshi chance market | 44% | 56% |
| Kalshi odds market | +128 | −128 |
| Edge (ours − Kalshi) | +2.3 pts | −2.3 pts |
| Kalshi bid / ask | 43¢ / 44¢ | 55¢ / 56¢ |
| Expected goals | 3.5 | 3.4 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:02 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.
Kalshi market price today
UTAH price in cents (EDM is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 6:45 AM CTchart runs 46¢ to 65¢latest 56¢
— Kalshi market price for UTAH - - Our forecast: UTAH 54% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
EDM·UTAH
+0.11
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
4.4
goals / game
3.9
3.1
goals allowed / game
2.6
5−2
season record
6−2
1−2
home record
2−0
4−0
away record
4−2
L1
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
6−4
24.9
shots / game
30.4
53.2
faceoff %
51.2
27.1
hits / game
26.2
14.0
blocked shots / game
15.0
3.4
takeaways / game
3.9
15.6
giveaways / game
16.8
Head to Head
last 7 meetings · UTAH 2−5Oct 15at EDMUTAH 4 − 2
Apr 7at UTAHUTAH 6 − 5 OT
Mar 24at UTAHEDM 5 − 2
Oct 28, 2025at EDMEDM 6 − 3
Mar 18, 2025at EDMEDM 7 − 1
Dec 31, 2024at EDMEDM 4 − 1
Nov 29, 2024at UTAHEDM 4 − 3 OT
Rating Trend
EDM · UTAH · 18 daysEDM · Last 10
6−4 · streak L1Oct 15vs UTAH2 − 4L
Oct 13at LA4 − 1W
Oct 10at SJ3 − 1W
Oct 7at ANA5 − 2W
Oct 3vs SEA3 − 1W
Oct 1at VAN9 − 7W
Sep 29vs VAN5 − 6L
Apr 30at ANA2 − 5L
Apr 28vs ANA4 − 1W
Apr 26at ANA3 − 4L
UTAH · Last 10
6−4 · streak W3Oct 15at EDM4 − 2W
Oct 13vs TOR5 − 4W
Oct 10at BUF4 − 1W
Oct 8at BOS1 − 6L
Oct 6at NJ5 − 3W
Oct 4at NYR2 − 4L
Oct 3at CBJ4 − 1W
Oct 1vs CHI6 − 0W
May 1vs VGK1 − 5L
Apr 29at VGK4 − 5L