New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals prediction, 2026-10-17 (NHL)

← NHL / Oct 17 / NJ at WSH

Away · 4−3 New Jersey Devils #21 in NHL · 42% to win

Home · 4−3 Washington Capitals #8 in NHL · 58% to win

SAT 12:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Capital One Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi latest price at 8:00 AM CT, next to our model

New Jersey Devils 42%

Washington Capitals 58%

Chance to win, from our model

← NJ even WSH → Kalshi market
NJ 48% · WSH 52% Our forecast
NJ 42% · WSH 58%

	NJ	WSH
Our chance	42%	58%
Our fair odds	+140	−140
Kalshi chance market	48%	52%
Kalshi odds market	+111	−111
Edge (ours − Kalshi)	−5.9 pts	+5.9 pts
Kalshi bid / ask	47¢ / 48¢	52¢ / 53¢
Expected goals	2.7	3.3

Expected margin: WSH by 0.6 · Expected total: 6.0. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:00 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.

Kalshi market price today

WSH price in cents (NJ is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 5:39 AM CT

chart runs 43¢ to 66¢latest 52¢

— Kalshi market price for WSH - - Our forecast: WSH 58% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games

NJ·WSH

−0.06

rating (0 = average)

+0.16

3.3

goals / game

3.4

3.3

goals allowed / game

3.1

4−3

season record

4−3

3−2

home record

3−1

1−1

away record

1−2

streak

6−4

last 10

7−3

35.6

shots / game

26.1

49.4

faceoff %

51.4

15.0

hits / game

21.3

11.1

blocked shots / game

17.1

4.9

takeaways / game

2.7

15.9

giveaways / game

15.9

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 5−5

Apr 2at NJNJ 7 − 3

Mar 20at WSHWSH 2 − 1

Dec 27, 2025at NJWSH 4 − 3 OT

Nov 15, 2025at WSHNJ 3 − 2 SO

Nov 30, 2024at NJWSH 6 − 5

Nov 23, 2024at WSHNJ 3 − 2

Oct 19, 2024at NJWSH 6 − 5 OT

Oct 12, 2024at WSHNJ 5 − 3

Feb 20, 2024at WSHWSH 6 − 2

Jan 3, 2024at WSHNJ 6 − 3

Rating Trend

NJ · WSH · 18 days

NJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2

Oct 15vs NYR7 − 1W

Oct 13at DET5 − 4W

Oct 12vs OTT1 − 4L

Oct 10vs VAN4 − 1W

Oct 6vs UTAH3 − 5L

Oct 3at NYI0 − 6L

Oct 1vs PHI3 − 2W

Apr 14at BOS0 − 4L

Apr 12vs OTT4 − 3W

Apr 11at DET5 − 3W

WSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1

Oct 14vs MTL5 − 4W

Oct 13at CAR2 − 4L

Oct 11vs SEA3 − 5L

Oct 9vs NYR3 − 1W

Oct 7vs PIT5 − 3W

Oct 3at TB1 − 3L

Oct 2at CAR5 − 2W

Apr 14at CBJ2 − 1W

Apr 12vs PIT3 − 0W

Apr 11at PIT6 − 3W