at
The Forecast
Kalshi latest price at 8:01 AM CT, next to our modelOttawa Senators 55%
Philadelphia Flyers 45%
Chance to win, from our model
← OTT
even
PHI →
Kalshi market
OTT 57% · PHI 42% Our forecast
OTT 55% · PHI 45%
OTT 57% · PHI 42% Our forecast
OTT 55% · PHI 45%
| OTT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Our chance | 55% | 45% |
| Our fair odds | −125 | +125 |
| Kalshi chance market | 58% | 42% |
| Kalshi odds market | −135 | +135 |
| Edge (ours − Kalshi) | −2.0 pts | +2.0 pts |
| Kalshi bid / ask | 57¢ / 58¢ | 42¢ / 43¢ |
| Expected goals | 2.9 | 2.5 |
Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 5.4. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.
Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:01 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.
Kalshi market price today
PHI price in cents (OTT is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 2:55 AM CTchart runs 34¢ to 54¢latest 42¢
— Kalshi market price for PHI - - Our forecast: PHI 45% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
OTT·PHI
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
2.9
goals / game
1.2
2.5
goals allowed / game
3.7
6−2
season record
0−9
3−1
home record
0−4
3−1
away record
0−5
W1
streak
L9
6−4
last 10
0−10
22.5
shots / game
20.4
50.3
faceoff %
51.8
24.2
hits / game
24.2
17.2
blocked shots / game
16.6
4.2
takeaways / game
4.3
15.9
giveaways / game
15.9
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · PHI 2−8Oct 8at OTTOTT 2 − 1
Feb 5at PHIOTT 2 − 1 OT
Nov 8, 2025at PHIOTT 3 − 2 OT
Oct 23, 2025at OTTOTT 2 − 1
Apr 13, 2025at OTTOTT 4 − 3 OT
Mar 11, 2025at PHIOTT 5 − 2
Nov 14, 2024at OTTPHI 5 − 4 OT
Mar 2, 2024at PHIPHI 4 − 2
Jan 21, 2024at PHIOTT 5 − 3
Oct 14, 2023at OTTOTT 5 − 2
Rating Trend
OTT · PHI · 18 daysOTT · Last 10
6−4 · streak W1Oct 15vs NYI2 − 1W
Oct 13vs STL2 − 7L
Oct 12at NJ4 − 1W
Oct 10vs NSH3 − 2W
Oct 8vs PHI2 − 1W
Oct 6at DET3 − 5L
Oct 5at BOS4 − 1W
Oct 3at TOR3 − 2W
Apr 25vs CAR2 − 4L
Apr 23vs CAR1 − 2L
PHI · Last 10
0−10 · streak L10Oct 15at DET1 − 2L
Oct 13vs SEA2 − 3L
Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L
Oct 8at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 5at TB1 − 4L
Oct 3vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 1at NJ2 − 3L
Sep 30vs PIT0 − 7L
May 9vs CAR2 − 3L