San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings prediction, 2026-10-17 (NHL)

← NHL / Oct 17 / SJ at DET

Away · 4−3 San Jose Sharks #29 in NHL · 43% to win

Home · 2−5 Detroit Red Wings #24 in NHL · 57% to win

SAT 6:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Little Caesars Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi latest price at 8:03 AM CT, next to our model

San Jose Sharks 43%

Detroit Red Wings 57%

Chance to win, from our model

← SJ even DET → Kalshi market
SJ 45% · DET 55% Our forecast
SJ 43% · DET 57%

	SJ	DET
Our chance	43%	57%
Our fair odds	+134	−134
Kalshi chance market	45%	55%
Kalshi odds market	+124	−124
Edge (ours − Kalshi)	−2.0 pts	+2.0 pts
Kalshi bid / ask	44¢ / 45¢	54¢ / 56¢
Expected goals	2.8	3.4

Expected margin: DET by 0.6 · Expected total: 6.2. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:03 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.

Kalshi market price today

DET price in cents (SJ is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 7:28 AM CT

chart runs 47¢ to 68¢latest 55¢

— Kalshi market price for DET - - Our forecast: DET 57% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games

SJ·DET

−0.29

rating (0 = average)

−0.11

2.7

goals / game

2.3

3.6

goals allowed / game

3.0

4−3

season record

2−5

2−2

home record

2−4

2−1

away record

0−1

streak

6−4

last 10

2−8

26.7

shots / game

31.0

45.4

faceoff %

49.5

27.0

hits / game

24.4

15.6

blocked shots / game

16.3

4.9

takeaways / game

4.3

18.3

giveaways / game

16.3

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 6−4

Jan 16at DETDET 4 − 2

Nov 2, 2025at SJDET 3 − 2 SO

Jan 14, 2025at DETSJ 6 − 3

Nov 18, 2024at SJSJ 5 − 4 OT

Jan 2, 2024at SJDET 5 − 3

Dec 7, 2023at DETSJ 6 − 5 OT

Jan 24, 2023at DETDET 3 − 2 OT

Nov 17, 2022at SJDET 7 − 4

Jan 11, 2022at SJSJ 3 − 2 OT

Jan 4, 2022at DETDET 6 − 2

Rating Trend

SJ · DET · 18 days

SJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1

Oct 15at NSH3 − 2W

Oct 13vs BOS3 − 6L

Oct 10vs EDM1 − 3L

Oct 8at STL3 − 2W

Oct 5at DAL0 − 5L

Oct 3vs LA5 − 4W

Oct 1vs FLA4 − 3W

Apr 16at WPG6 − 1W

Apr 15at CHI2 − 5L

Apr 13at NSH3 − 2W

DET · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1

Oct 15vs PHI2 − 1W

Oct 13vs NJ4 − 5L

Oct 10at MTL0 − 1L

Oct 9vs SEA3 − 6L

Oct 6vs OTT5 − 3W

Oct 4vs WPG2 − 3L

Oct 2vs NYR0 − 2L

Apr 15at FLA1 − 8L

Apr 13at TB3 − 4L

Apr 11vs NJ3 − 5L