Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers prediction, 2026-10-17 (NHL)

← NHL / Oct 17 / SEA at FLA

Away · 5−3 Seattle Kraken #23 in NHL · 44% to win

Home · 4−4 Florida Panthers #15 in NHL · 56% to win

SAT 5:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Amerant Bank Arena

The Forecast

Kalshi latest price at 8:00 AM CT, next to our model

Seattle Kraken 44%

Florida Panthers 56%

Chance to win, from our model

← SEA even FLA → Kalshi market
SEA 36% · FLA 64% Our forecast
SEA 44% · FLA 56%

	SEA	FLA
Our chance	44%	56%
Our fair odds	+126	−126
Kalshi chance market	36%	64%
Kalshi odds market	+174	−174
Edge (ours − Kalshi)	+7.8 pts	−7.8 pts
Kalshi bid / ask	36¢ / 37¢	63¢ / 64¢
Expected goals	2.9	3.2

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.1. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market (latest price, updated 8:00 AM CT): Kalshi chance is the middle of each team's bid and ask, scaled so both teams add to 100% (the market's fee margin removed). It's a market price, not the true chance of winning.

Kalshi market price today

FLA price in cents (SEA is roughly 100 minus it), 11:00 PM CT to 5:17 AM CT

chart runs 48¢ to 74¢latest 64¢

— Kalshi market price for FLA - - Our forecast: FLA 56% to win. The price is what the market charges, not the chance of winning.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 8+ games

SEA·FLA

−0.10

rating (0 = average)

+0.01

4.0

goals / game

2.8

2.9

goals allowed / game

2.8

5−3

season record

4−4

1−1

home record

1−1

4−2

away record

3−3

streak

5−5

last 10

6−4

26.9

shots / game

28.4

50.1

faceoff %

48.0

16.9

hits / game

32.6

16.9

blocked shots / game

9.9

5.4

takeaways / game

3.6

14.9

giveaways / game

16.9

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · FLA 4−6

Mar 24at FLAFLA 5 − 4 SO

Mar 15at SEASEA 6 − 2

Feb 22, 2025at FLASEA 2 − 1

Dec 10, 2024at SEAFLA 2 − 1 SO

Dec 12, 2023at SEASEA 4 − 0

Oct 28, 2023at FLAFLA 3 − 2

Dec 11, 2022at FLASEA 5 − 2

Dec 3, 2022at SEAFLA 5 − 1

Jan 23, 2022at SEASEA 5 − 3

Nov 27, 2021at FLASEA 4 − 1

Rating Trend

SEA · FLA · 18 days

SEA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1

Oct 15at TB3 − 4L

Oct 13at PHI3 − 2W

Oct 11at WSH5 − 3W

Oct 9at DET6 − 3W

Oct 6vs VGK2 − 6L

Oct 4vs CGY6 − 1W

Oct 3at EDM1 − 3L

Oct 1at CGY6 − 1W

Apr 16at COL0 − 2L

Apr 15at VGK1 − 4L

FLA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2

Oct 15vs VAN3 − 2W

Oct 13at CBJ7 − 3W

Oct 12at BUF3 − 5L

Oct 10vs MIN1 − 4L

Oct 6at LA2 − 1W

Oct 4at ANA2 − 3L

Oct 1at SJ3 − 4L

Sep 29at CAR1 − 0W

Apr 15vs DET8 − 1W

Apr 13vs NYR3 − 2W