Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 14 / PHI at BUF
Away · 0−8 Philadelphia Flyers #27 in NHL  ·  39% to win
at
Home · 3−4 Buffalo Sabres #7 in NHL  ·  61% to win
WED 6:30P CT · Oct 14 NHL KeyBank Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 14
Philadelphia Flyers 39%
Buffalo Sabres 61%

Chance to win, from our model

PHIBUF
Chance to win39%61%
Expected goals2.63.5
Fair odds+153−153

Expected margin: BUF by 0.9 · Expected total: 6.1. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
PHI·BUF
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
1.2
goals / game
2.7
3.9
goals allowed / game
3.7
0−8
season record
3−4
0−4
home record
3−2
0−4
away record
0−2
L8
streak
L1
0−10
last 10
4−6
20.8
shots / game
25.9
51.6
faceoff %
47.9
24.8
hits / game
20.0
16.5
blocked shots / game
11.9
4.2
takeaways / game
2.6
17.1
giveaways / game
17.0

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BUF 6−4
Jan 14at BUFBUF 5 − 2
Dec 18, 2025at BUFBUF 5 − 3
Dec 3, 2025at PHIPHI 5 − 2
Apr 17, 2025at BUFBUF 5 − 4
Mar 29, 2025at PHIPHI 7 − 4
Nov 16, 2024at PHIPHI 5 − 2
Apr 5, 2024at BUFBUF 4 − 2
Nov 3, 2023at BUFPHI 5 − 1
Nov 1, 2023at PHIBUF 5 − 2
Apr 1, 2023at PHIBUF 6 − 3

Rating Trend

PHI · BUF · 15 days

PHI · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Oct 13vs SEA2 − 3L
Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L
Oct 8at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 5at TB1 − 4L
Oct 3vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 1at NJ2 − 3L
Sep 30vs PIT0 − 7L
May 9vs CAR2 − 3L
May 7vs CAR1 − 4L

BUF · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 13at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 6vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 3vs CHI4 − 3W
Oct 1at CBJ3 − 6L
May 18vs MTL2 − 3L
May 16at MTL8 − 3W
May 14vs MTL3 − 6L