Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 15 / FLA at PIT
Away · 3−4 Florida Panthers #18 in NHL  ·  47% to win
at
Home · 3−4 Pittsburgh Penguins #16 in NHL  ·  53% to win
THU 6:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL PPG Paints Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 15
Florida Panthers 47%
Pittsburgh Penguins 53%

Chance to win, from our model

FLAPIT
Chance to win47%53%
Expected goals3.33.4
Fair odds+113−113

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.7. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
FLA·PIT
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.02
2.7
goals / game
3.6
2.9
goals allowed / game
3.1
3−4
season record
3−4
0−1
home record
2−1
3−3
away record
1−3
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
5−5
26.9
shots / game
28.3
47.8
faceoff %
45.2
34.3
hits / game
11.9
10.3
blocked shots / game
14.3
3.7
takeaways / game
4.3
17.0
giveaways / game
17.3

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PIT 4−6
Apr 5at PITPIT 5 − 2
Apr 4at PITPIT 9 − 4
Oct 23, 2025at FLAPIT 5 − 3
Mar 23, 2025at FLAFLA 4 − 3 SO
Jan 3, 2025at FLAFLA 3 − 2 SO
Dec 3, 2024at PITPIT 5 − 4 OT
Feb 14, 2024at PITFLA 5 − 2
Jan 26, 2024at PITFLA 3 − 2 SO
Dec 8, 2023at FLAFLA 3 − 1
Mar 4, 2023at FLAFLA 4 − 1

Rating Trend

FLA · PIT · 16 days

FLA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 13at CBJ7 − 3W
Oct 12at BUF3 − 5L
Oct 10vs MIN1 − 4L
Oct 6at LA2 − 1W
Oct 4at ANA2 − 3L
Oct 1at SJ3 − 4L
Sep 29at CAR1 − 0W
Apr 15vs DET8 − 1W
Apr 13vs NYR3 − 2W
Apr 11at TOR6 − 2W

PIT · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 13at CHI3 − 5L
Oct 10vs DAL2 − 1W
Oct 9at CBJ2 − 3L
Oct 7at WSH3 − 5L
Oct 5vs WPG2 − 3L
Oct 3vs MTL6 − 5W
Sep 30at PHI7 − 0W
Apr 29at PHI0 − 1L
Apr 27vs PHI3 − 2W
Apr 25at PHI4 − 2W