Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 15 / MIN at CGY
Away · 4−3 Minnesota Wild #6 in NHL  ·  59% to win
at
Home · 1−5 Calgary Flames #30 in NHL  ·  41% to win
THU 8:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL Scotiabank Saddledome

The Forecast

Updated Oct 15
Minnesota Wild 59%
Calgary Flames 41%

Chance to win, from our model

MINCGY
Chance to win59%41%
Expected goals3.32.5
Fair odds−144+144

Expected margin: MIN by 0.8 · Expected total: 5.9. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
MIN·CGY
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.32
3.0
goals / game
2.0
2.3
goals allowed / game
4.8
4−3
season record
1−5
2−0
home record
0−3
2−3
away record
1−2
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
27.7
shots / game
29.3
52.9
faceoff %
50.5
22.9
hits / game
24.2
15.3
blocked shots / game
13.8
4.3
takeaways / game
3.8
17.4
giveaways / game
17.2

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CGY 6−4
Jan 29at MINMIN 4 − 1
Dec 4, 2025at CGYCGY 4 − 1
Nov 9, 2025at MINMIN 2 − 0
Apr 11, 2025at CGYCGY 4 − 2
Jan 25, 2025at MINCGY 5 − 4
Nov 23, 2024at CGYCGY 4 − 3 SO
Jan 2, 2024at MINCGY 3 − 1
Dec 14, 2023at MINMIN 3 − 2 SO
Dec 5, 2023at CGYMIN 5 − 2
Mar 7, 2023at MINCGY 1 − 0 SO

Rating Trend

MIN · CGY · 16 days

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 13at WPG2 − 5L
Oct 12vs VGK4 − 2W
Oct 10at FLA4 − 1W
Oct 8at TB2 − 3L
Oct 6at BUF2 − 3L
Oct 3vs BOS4 − 1W
Oct 1at NSH3 − 1W
May 13at COL3 − 4L
May 11vs COL2 − 5L
May 9vs COL5 − 1W

CGY · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 13at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 10vs ANA2 − 4L
Oct 8vs COL3 − 7L
Oct 4at SEA1 − 6L
Oct 3at VAN1 − 4L
Oct 1vs SEA1 − 6L
Apr 16vs LA3 − 1W
Apr 14vs COL1 − 3L
Apr 12vs UTAH4 − 1W
Apr 11at SEA1 − 4L