Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 15 / NYR at TOR
Away · 6−2 New York Rangers #14 in NHL  ·  51% to win
at
Home · 3−4 Toronto Maple Leafs #25 in NHL  ·  49% to win
THU 6:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL Scotiabank Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 15
New York Rangers 51%
Toronto Maple Leafs 49%

Chance to win, from our model

NYRTOR
Chance to win51%49%
Expected goals3.43.0
Fair odds−105+105

Expected margin: NYR by 0.5 · Expected total: 6.4. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
NYR·TOR
+0.04
rating (0 = average)
−0.12
3.4
goals / game
3.4
1.8
goals allowed / game
3.3
6−2
season record
3−4
5−0
home record
2−2
1−2
away record
1−2
W2
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
3−7
23.2
shots / game
27.6
54.6
faceoff %
52.2
28.6
hits / game
18.4
15.2
blocked shots / game
15.6
4.1
takeaways / game
4.6
15.4
giveaways / game
16.6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 7−3
Mar 25at TORTOR 4 − 3
Mar 5at NYRNYR 6 − 2
Oct 16, 2025at TORTOR 2 − 1 OT
Mar 20, 2025at NYRTOR 4 − 3
Feb 28, 2025at NYRTOR 3 − 2
Oct 19, 2024at TORNYR 4 − 1
Mar 2, 2024at TORTOR 4 − 3 SO
Dec 19, 2023at TORNYR 5 − 2
Dec 12, 2023at NYRTOR 7 − 3
Apr 13, 2023at NYRTOR 3 − 2

Rating Trend

NYR · TOR · 16 days

NYR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Oct 13vs TB4 − 1W
Oct 11vs VAN6 − 2W
Oct 9at WSH1 − 3L
Oct 6vs NYI5 − 2W
Oct 4vs UTAH4 − 2W
Oct 2at DET2 − 0W
Oct 1vs TB5 − 1W
Sep 29at BOS0 − 3L
Apr 15at TB4 − 2W
Apr 13at FLA2 − 3L

TOR · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 13at UTAH4 − 5L
Oct 10at COL6 − 3W
Oct 8at VGK3 − 4L
Oct 6vs NSH5 − 4W
Oct 3vs OTT2 − 3L
Sep 30vs NYI2 − 1W
Sep 29vs MTL2 − 3L
Apr 15at OTT1 − 3L
Apr 13vs DAL5 − 6L
Apr 11vs FLA2 − 6L