Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 15 / SJ at OTT
Away · 3−3 San Jose Sharks #29 in NHL  ·  37% to win
at
Home · 5−2 Ottawa Senators #9 in NHL  ·  63% to win
THU 6:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL Canadian Tire Centre

The Forecast

Updated Oct 15
San Jose Sharks 37%
Ottawa Senators 63%

Chance to win, from our model

SJOTT
Chance to win37%63%
Expected goals2.63.8
Fair odds+171−171

Expected margin: OTT by 1.2 · Expected total: 6.4. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
SJ·OTT
−0.29
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
2.7
goals / game
3.0
3.8
goals allowed / game
2.7
3−3
season record
5−2
2−2
home record
2−1
1−1
away record
3−1
L2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
25.8
shots / game
23.0
45.1
faceoff %
51.6
29.3
hits / game
24.6
14.5
blocked shots / game
17.6
5.3
takeaways / game
4.1
18.5
giveaways / game
15.6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · OTT 6−4
Mar 15at OTTOTT 7 − 4
Nov 22, 2025at SJOTT 3 − 2
Mar 1, 2025at OTTOTT 5 − 3
Nov 27, 2024at SJOTT 4 − 3
Mar 9, 2024at SJSJ 2 − 1
Jan 13, 2024at OTTOTT 5 − 4
Dec 3, 2022at OTTOTT 5 − 2
Nov 21, 2022at SJSJ 5 − 1
Nov 24, 2021at SJSJ 6 − 3
Oct 21, 2021at OTTSJ 2 − 1

Rating Trend

SJ · OTT · 16 days

SJ · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Oct 13vs BOS3 − 6L
Oct 10vs EDM1 − 3L
Oct 8at STL3 − 2W
Oct 5at DAL0 − 5L
Oct 3vs LA5 − 4W
Oct 1vs FLA4 − 3W
Apr 16at WPG6 − 1W
Apr 15at CHI2 − 5L
Apr 13at NSH3 − 2W
Apr 11vs VAN3 − 4L

OTT · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 13vs STL2 − 7L
Oct 12at NJ4 − 1W
Oct 10vs NSH3 − 2W
Oct 8vs PHI2 − 1W
Oct 6at DET3 − 5L
Oct 5at BOS4 − 1W
Oct 3at TOR3 − 2W
Apr 25vs CAR2 − 4L
Apr 23vs CAR1 − 2L
Apr 20at CAR2 − 3L