Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 15 / VGK at STL
Away · 6−2 Vegas Golden Knights #4 in NHL  ·  52% to win
at
Home · 3−3 St. Louis Blues #15 in NHL  ·  48% to win
THU 7:00P CT · Oct 15 NHL Enterprise Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 15
Vegas Golden Knights 52%
St. Louis Blues 48%

Chance to win, from our model

VGKSTL
Chance to win52%48%
Expected goals3.12.9
Fair odds−107+107

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.0. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
VGK·STL
+0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.04
3.8
goals / game
3.5
2.5
goals allowed / game
3.0
6−2
season record
3−3
3−1
home record
1−1
3−1
away record
2−2
W1
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
7−3
30.8
shots / game
26.0
52.1
faceoff %
47.2
19.2
hits / game
21.3
13.1
blocked shots / game
11.7
3.8
takeaways / game
3.7
17.1
giveaways / game
16.5

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · STL 3−7
Jan 10at VGKVGK 4 − 2
Jan 2at STLSTL 4 − 3
Nov 15, 2025at STLVGK 4 − 1
Jan 23, 2025at STLVGK 4 − 2
Jan 20, 2025at VGKSTL 5 − 4 SO
Oct 11, 2024at VGKVGK 4 − 3
Mar 25, 2024at STLVGK 2 − 1 OT
Dec 6, 2023at STLVGK 6 − 3
Dec 4, 2023at VGKSTL 2 − 1 OT
Mar 12, 2023at STLVGK 5 − 3

Rating Trend

VGK · STL · 16 days

VGK · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 13at NSH5 − 2W
Oct 12at MIN2 − 4L
Oct 10vs LA2 − 1W
Oct 8vs TOR4 − 3W
Oct 6at SEA6 − 2W
Oct 4at VAN3 − 2W
Oct 2vs ANA3 − 4L
Sep 29vs CHI5 − 2W
Jun 14vs CAR0 − 3L
Jun 11at CAR2 − 4L

STL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Oct 13at OTT7 − 2W
Oct 10vs CBJ5 − 3W
Oct 8vs SJ2 − 3L
Oct 6at CHI2 − 4L
Oct 3at COL1 − 6L
Oct 2at DAL4 − 0W
Apr 16at UTAH5 − 3W
Apr 14vs PIT7 − 5W
Apr 13vs MIN6 − 3W
Apr 11at CHI5 − 3W