Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 16 / MTL at CHI
Away · 3−4 Montreal Canadiens #12 in NHL  ·  60% to win
at
Home · 3−5 Chicago Blackhawks #31 in NHL  ·  40% to win
FRI 7:00P CT · Oct 16 NHL United Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 16
Montreal Canadiens 60%
Chicago Blackhawks 40%

Chance to win, from our model

MTLCHI
Chance to win60%40%
Expected goals3.52.7
Fair odds−152+152

Expected margin: MTL by 0.8 · Expected total: 6.3. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
MTL·CHI
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.45
3.3
goals / game
2.6
3.9
goals allowed / game
4.0
3−4
season record
3−5
2−2
home record
3−1
1−2
away record
0−4
L1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
4−6
28.6
shots / game
21.8
51.6
faceoff %
44.0
21.1
hits / game
15.8
12.4
blocked shots / game
12.0
4.4
takeaways / game
4.6
15.3
giveaways / game
19.5

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 4−6
Dec 18, 2025at MTLMTL 4 − 1
Oct 11, 2025at CHIMTL 3 − 2
Apr 14, 2025at MTLCHI 4 − 3 SO
Jan 3, 2025at CHICHI 4 − 2
Dec 22, 2023at CHIMTL 5 − 2
Oct 14, 2023at MTLMTL 3 − 2
Feb 14, 2023at MTLMTL 4 − 0
Nov 25, 2022at CHIMTL 3 − 2 SO
Jan 13, 2022at CHICHI 3 − 2 OT
Dec 9, 2021at MTLCHI 2 − 0

Rating Trend

MTL · CHI · 17 days

MTL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 14at WSH4 − 5L
Oct 13vs BUF4 − 3W
Oct 10vs DET1 − 0W
Oct 8vs NSH2 − 5L
Oct 6vs CAR4 − 6L
Oct 3at PIT5 − 6L
Sep 29at TOR3 − 2W
May 29at CAR1 − 6L
May 27vs CAR0 − 4L
May 25vs CAR2 − 3L

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Oct 15vs WPG4 − 3W
Oct 13vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 10vs CAR2 − 5L
Oct 8at NYI1 − 4L
Oct 6vs STL4 − 2W
Oct 3at BUF3 − 4L
Oct 1at UTAH0 − 6L
Sep 29at VGK2 − 5L
Apr 15vs SJ5 − 2W
Apr 13vs BUF1 − 5L