Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 17 / BUF at WSH
Away · 4−4 Buffalo Sabres #7 in NHL  ·  47% to win
at
Home · 4−3 Washington Capitals #8 in NHL  ·  53% to win
SAT 6:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Capital One Arena

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
Buffalo Sabres 47%
Washington Capitals 53%

Chance to win, from our model

BUFWSH
Our chance47%53%
Our fair odds+111−111
Expected goals3.33.3

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.5. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
BUF·WSH
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
3.0
goals / game
3.4
3.8
goals allowed / game
3.1
4−4
season record
4−3
3−2
home record
3−1
1−2
away record
1−2
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
7−3
26.9
shots / game
26.1
47.4
faceoff %
51.4
20.1
hits / game
21.3
10.9
blocked shots / game
17.1
2.9
takeaways / game
2.7
17.0
giveaways / game
15.9

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 5−5
Apr 4at WSHWSH 6 − 2
Mar 12at BUFWSH 2 − 1
Nov 1, 2025at BUFBUF 4 − 3 SO
Mar 30, 2025at WSHBUF 8 − 5
Jan 6, 2025at BUFBUF 4 − 3 SO
Dec 14, 2024at WSHWSH 4 − 2
Apr 11, 2024at BUFBUF 4 − 2
Apr 2, 2024at BUFBUF 6 − 2
Nov 22, 2023at WSHWSH 4 − 3 OT
Mar 15, 2023at WSHWSH 5 − 4 SO

Rating Trend

BUF · WSH · 18 days

BUF · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 15at TOR5 − 4W
Oct 13at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 6vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 3vs CHI4 − 3W
Oct 1at CBJ3 − 6L
May 18vs MTL2 − 3L
May 16at MTL8 − 3W

WSH · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 14vs MTL5 − 4W
Oct 13at CAR2 − 4L
Oct 11vs SEA3 − 5L
Oct 9vs NYR3 − 1W
Oct 7vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 3at TB1 − 3L
Oct 2at CAR5 − 2W
Apr 14at CBJ2 − 1W
Apr 12vs PIT3 − 0W
Apr 11at PIT6 − 3W