Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 17 / DET at CGY
Away · 2−5 Detroit Red Wings #24 in NHL  ·  53% to win
at
Home · 1−6 Calgary Flames #30 in NHL  ·  47% to win
SAT 9:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Scotiabank Saddledome

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
Detroit Red Wings 53%
Calgary Flames 47%

Chance to win, from our model

DETCGY
Our chance53%47%
Our fair odds−115+115
Expected goals2.92.7

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 5.6. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
DET·CGY
−0.11
rating (0 = average)
−0.38
2.3
goals / game
2.0
3.0
goals allowed / game
5.0
2−5
season record
1−6
2−4
home record
0−3
0−1
away record
1−3
W1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
3−7
31.0
shots / game
29.4
49.5
faceoff %
50.3
24.4
hits / game
24.1
16.3
blocked shots / game
14.1
4.3
takeaways / game
4.0
16.3
giveaways / game
17.1

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CGY 2−8
Mar 16at DETDET 5 − 2
Dec 10, 2025at CGYDET 4 − 3
Feb 1, 2025at CGYDET 3 − 1
Nov 27, 2024at DETDET 2 − 1 OT
Feb 17, 2024at CGYDET 5 − 0
Oct 22, 2023at DETDET 6 − 2
Feb 16, 2023at CGYDET 5 − 2
Feb 9, 2023at DETDET 2 − 1
Mar 12, 2022at CGYCGY 3 − 0
Oct 21, 2021at DETCGY 3 − 0

Rating Trend

DET · CGY · 18 days

DET · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 15vs PHI2 − 1W
Oct 13vs NJ4 − 5L
Oct 10at MTL0 − 1L
Oct 9vs SEA3 − 6L
Oct 6vs OTT5 − 3W
Oct 4vs WPG2 − 3L
Oct 2vs NYR0 − 2L
Apr 15at FLA1 − 8L
Apr 13at TB3 − 4L
Apr 11vs NJ3 − 5L

CGY · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 15at VGK2 − 6L
Oct 13at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 10vs ANA2 − 4L
Oct 8vs COL3 − 7L
Oct 4at SEA1 − 6L
Oct 3at VAN1 − 4L
Oct 1vs SEA1 − 6L
Apr 16vs LA3 − 1W
Apr 14vs COL1 − 3L
Apr 12vs UTAH4 − 1W