Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 17 / NYR at OTT
Away · 6−3 New York Rangers #16 in NHL  ·  43% to win
at
Home · 6−2 Ottawa Senators #9 in NHL  ·  57% to win
SAT 6:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Canadian Tire Centre

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
New York Rangers 43%
Ottawa Senators 57%

Chance to win, from our model

NYROTT
Our chance43%57%
Our fair odds+132−132
Expected goals2.63.1

Expected margin: OTT by 0.5 · Expected total: 5.7. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
NYR·OTT
−0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
3.1
goals / game
2.9
2.3
goals allowed / game
2.5
6−3
season record
6−2
5−0
home record
3−1
1−3
away record
3−1
L1
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
6−4
22.8
shots / game
22.5
54.5
faceoff %
50.3
28.2
hits / game
24.2
16.1
blocked shots / game
17.2
4.3
takeaways / game
4.2
15.2
giveaways / game
15.9

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · OTT 5−5
Mar 23at NYROTT 2 − 1
Jan 14at NYROTT 8 − 4
Dec 4, 2025at OTTNYR 4 − 2
Mar 8, 2025at OTTOTT 4 − 3 OT
Jan 21, 2025at NYRNYR 5 − 0
Nov 1, 2024at NYRNYR 2 − 1
Apr 15, 2024at NYRNYR 4 − 0
Jan 27, 2024at OTTNYR 7 − 2
Dec 5, 2023at OTTOTT 6 − 2
Mar 2, 2023at NYROTT 5 − 3

Rating Trend

NYR · OTT · 18 days

NYR · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Oct 15at NJ1 − 7L
Oct 13vs TB4 − 1W
Oct 11vs VAN6 − 2W
Oct 9at WSH1 − 3L
Oct 6vs NYI5 − 2W
Oct 4vs UTAH4 − 2W
Oct 2at DET2 − 0W
Oct 1vs TB5 − 1W
Sep 29at BOS0 − 3L
Apr 15at TB4 − 2W

OTT · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 15vs NYI2 − 1W
Oct 13vs STL2 − 7L
Oct 12at NJ4 − 1W
Oct 10vs NSH3 − 2W
Oct 8vs PHI2 − 1W
Oct 6at DET3 − 5L
Oct 5at BOS4 − 1W
Oct 3at TOR3 − 2W
Apr 25vs CAR2 − 4L
Apr 23vs CAR1 − 2L