Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 17 / SJ at BOS
Away · 4−3 San Jose Sharks #29 in NHL  ·  37% to win
at
Home · 6−2 Boston Bruins #11 in NHL  ·  63% to win
SAT 6:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL TD Garden

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
San Jose Sharks 37%
Boston Bruins 63%

Chance to win, from our model

SJBOS
Our chance37%63%
Our fair odds+168−168
Expected goals2.73.8

Expected margin: BOS by 1.0 · Expected total: 6.5. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
SJ·BOS
−0.29
rating (0 = average)
+0.12
2.7
goals / game
3.8
3.6
goals allowed / game
2.2
4−3
season record
6−2
2−2
home record
3−1
2−1
away record
3−1
W1
streak
W4
6−4
last 10
7−3
26.7
shots / game
25.1
45.4
faceoff %
53.1
27.0
hits / game
24.5
15.6
blocked shots / game
15.2
4.9
takeaways / game
4.5
18.3
giveaways / game
17.6

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 7−3
Oct 13at SJBOS 6 − 3
Mar 12at BOSSJ 4 − 2
Nov 23, 2025at SJSJ 3 − 1
Mar 22, 2025at SJSJ 3 − 1
Jan 20, 2025at BOSBOS 6 − 3
Nov 30, 2023at BOSBOS 3 − 0
Oct 19, 2023at SJBOS 3 − 1
Jan 22, 2023at BOSBOS 4 − 0
Jan 7, 2023at SJBOS 4 − 2
Feb 26, 2022at SJBOS 3 − 1

Rating Trend

SJ · BOS · 18 days

SJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 15at NSH3 − 2W
Oct 13vs BOS3 − 6L
Oct 10vs EDM1 − 3L
Oct 8at STL3 − 2W
Oct 5at DAL0 − 5L
Oct 3vs LA5 − 4W
Oct 1vs FLA4 − 3W
Apr 16at WPG6 − 1W
Apr 15at CHI2 − 5L
Apr 13at NSH3 − 2W

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Oct 16at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 13at SJ6 − 3W
Oct 10vs PHI5 − 1W
Oct 8vs UTAH6 − 1W
Oct 5vs OTT1 − 4L
Oct 3at MIN1 − 4L
Oct 2at WPG4 − 3W
Sep 29vs NYR3 − 0W
May 1vs BUF1 − 4L
Apr 28at BUF2 − 1W