Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Oct 17 / TB at UTAH
Away · 5−2 Tampa Bay Lightning #3 in NHL  ·  50% to win
at
Home · 6−2 Utah Mammoth #10 in NHL  ·  50% to win
SAT 8:00P CT · Oct 17 NHL Delta Center

The Forecast

Updated Oct 17
Tampa Bay Lightning 50%
Utah Mammoth 50%

Chance to win, from our model

TBUTAH
Our chance50%50%
Our fair odds+100−100
Expected goals3.23.0

Expected margin: about even · Expected total: 6.2. Fair odds are the betting odds that match our forecast.

Kalshi market: No Kalshi market yet.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
TB·UTAH
+0.26
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
3.0
goals / game
3.9
2.7
goals allowed / game
2.6
5−2
season record
6−2
4−0
home record
2−0
1−2
away record
4−2
W1
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
6−4
30.3
shots / game
30.4
45.7
faceoff %
51.2
22.6
hits / game
26.2
13.4
blocked shots / game
15.0
4.1
takeaways / game
3.9
16.0
giveaways / game
16.8

Head to Head

last 4 meetings · UTAH 1−3
Jan 26at TBTB 2 − 0
Nov 2, 2025at UTAHTB 4 − 2
Mar 27, 2025at TBTB 8 − 0
Mar 22, 2025at UTAHUTAH 6 − 4

Rating Trend

TB · UTAH · 18 days

TB · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 15vs SEA4 − 3W
Oct 13at NYR1 − 4L
Oct 10at NYI5 − 3W
Oct 8vs MIN3 − 2W
Oct 5vs PHI4 − 1W
Oct 3vs WSH3 − 1W
Oct 1at NYR1 − 5L
May 3vs MTL1 − 2L
May 1at MTL1 − 0W
Apr 29vs MTL2 − 3L

UTAH · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 15at EDM4 − 2W
Oct 13vs TOR5 − 4W
Oct 10at BUF4 − 1W
Oct 8at BOS1 − 6L
Oct 6at NJ5 − 3W
Oct 4at NYR2 − 4L
Oct 3at CBJ4 − 1W
Oct 1vs CHI6 − 0W
May 1vs VGK1 − 5L
Apr 29at VGK4 − 5L